Wednesday play from DiscreetPicks
DiscreetCat
Moderator
Hollywood - Race 7
#2 Believe in Hope (3/1 ml)
Trainer Ron Ellis was very high on this colt coming out of the Norfolk a couple of years ago, but an injury kept him out of the Breeders Cup while the two horses that beat him in the Norfolk returned to run first-and-third in the BC Juvenile. Disappeared for about a year and a half with the injury, but finally came back last month and actually WON a tough 7-furlong allowance event that was undoubtedly meant as a tightener. He obviously performed extremely well when stretching out to two turns in the Norfolk as a 2yo, and figures much better-suited to the task these days (as a fully-grown 4yo) than he was back then. And as mentioned, he ran great in the comeback prep last time out, dropping back off the early pace before kicking it in very strongly in the lane to run down the leaders and win going away (check out the final furlong in a sparkling 11.1). Not a very big colt, but he can really motor late, and he should get a fast pace to run at here, with Gothic Samurai and Warren's Pepe figuring to battle on the front end. Has come back to work a bullet six furlongs since the impressive comeback win, and this was likely Ellis' intended target all along (can't thing he had designs on winning the first one, and he clearly considers this colt to be a route type). Expecting a strong effort here.
HRT record:
68 for 247 (28%)
$585.20 mutuels ($8.61 avg)
#2 Believe in Hope (3/1 ml)
Trainer Ron Ellis was very high on this colt coming out of the Norfolk a couple of years ago, but an injury kept him out of the Breeders Cup while the two horses that beat him in the Norfolk returned to run first-and-third in the BC Juvenile. Disappeared for about a year and a half with the injury, but finally came back last month and actually WON a tough 7-furlong allowance event that was undoubtedly meant as a tightener. He obviously performed extremely well when stretching out to two turns in the Norfolk as a 2yo, and figures much better-suited to the task these days (as a fully-grown 4yo) than he was back then. And as mentioned, he ran great in the comeback prep last time out, dropping back off the early pace before kicking it in very strongly in the lane to run down the leaders and win going away (check out the final furlong in a sparkling 11.1). Not a very big colt, but he can really motor late, and he should get a fast pace to run at here, with Gothic Samurai and Warren's Pepe figuring to battle on the front end. Has come back to work a bullet six furlongs since the impressive comeback win, and this was likely Ellis' intended target all along (can't thing he had designs on winning the first one, and he clearly considers this colt to be a route type). Expecting a strong effort here.
HRT record:
68 for 247 (28%)
$585.20 mutuels ($8.61 avg)
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8/5 at the best