Florida Derby play from DiscreetPicks
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Gulfstream - Race 10
#7 Dialed In (2/1 ml)
You probably remember we were on this horse in the Holy Bull, and i like him again in this spot. Got some valuable two-turn experience last time out, and ran pretty well imo in a race that he CLEARLY wasn't cranked up for, and just because he happened to lose @ 1/5 that day, it seems that a lot of people have lost faith in him. Short morning line, as you can see, but he should be a pretty solid price here with the 9/5 ml favorite (and impressive Fountain of Youth winner) Soldat taking a ton of money. There will also be some support for To Honor and Serve, Stay Thirsty, and perhaps even Flashpoint (whom we had in the Hutcheson you may recall). This is a very tough spot for Soldat, having drawn the rail again, but this time to the immediate inside of To Honor and Serve, who figures to be very prominent early, along with Flashpoint likely being gunned from the outside. Seems likely to be pressed very hard if he goes for the early lead again, and if he doesn't, he could potentially get boxed in along the inside. In any case, the pace figures to be very quick for the distance, which should set it up beautifully for Dialed In, who incidentally is sitting at #17 on the graded earnings list and is unquestionably cranked pretty tight for this one. Figures to improve a good bit off his two-turn prep race (where conversely, he was asked to close into a dawdling pace), and could very well blow past the tiring leaders here just as he did in the Holy Bull. The only real question is whether Dialed In can be as effective around two turns as he is around one, but frankly he might not even need to be, the way the race sets up here. Anything close to the kick he showed in the Holy Bull would likely get it done here. Could very well leap back into the Derby picture in a big way, not that he ever really left it to begin with. Expecting a pretty strong run from this guy, in the neighborhood of 5/2 or 3/1.
HRT record:
78 for 293 (27%)
$655.80 mutuels ($8.41 avg)
#7 Dialed In (2/1 ml)
You probably remember we were on this horse in the Holy Bull, and i like him again in this spot. Got some valuable two-turn experience last time out, and ran pretty well imo in a race that he CLEARLY wasn't cranked up for, and just because he happened to lose @ 1/5 that day, it seems that a lot of people have lost faith in him. Short morning line, as you can see, but he should be a pretty solid price here with the 9/5 ml favorite (and impressive Fountain of Youth winner) Soldat taking a ton of money. There will also be some support for To Honor and Serve, Stay Thirsty, and perhaps even Flashpoint (whom we had in the Hutcheson you may recall). This is a very tough spot for Soldat, having drawn the rail again, but this time to the immediate inside of To Honor and Serve, who figures to be very prominent early, along with Flashpoint likely being gunned from the outside. Seems likely to be pressed very hard if he goes for the early lead again, and if he doesn't, he could potentially get boxed in along the inside. In any case, the pace figures to be very quick for the distance, which should set it up beautifully for Dialed In, who incidentally is sitting at #17 on the graded earnings list and is unquestionably cranked pretty tight for this one. Figures to improve a good bit off his two-turn prep race (where conversely, he was asked to close into a dawdling pace), and could very well blow past the tiring leaders here just as he did in the Holy Bull. The only real question is whether Dialed In can be as effective around two turns as he is around one, but frankly he might not even need to be, the way the race sets up here. Anything close to the kick he showed in the Holy Bull would likely get it done here. Could very well leap back into the Derby picture in a big way, not that he ever really left it to begin with. Expecting a pretty strong run from this guy, in the neighborhood of 5/2 or 3/1.
HRT record:
78 for 293 (27%)
$655.80 mutuels ($8.41 avg)
Comments
http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/62621/soldat-sizzles-five-furlongs-at-palm-meadows