Hollywood play from DiscreetPicks
DiscreetCat
Moderator
Hollywood - Race 4
#5 Bet On Victor (5/2 ml)
Speedy Cerin colt battled on some very fast early fractions while being very ambitiously placed when coming off a 10-month layoff, and understandably got tired late. Figures to have gotten quite a bit out of that race conditioning-wise, and note the similar pattern to what he did last year, coming off a long layoff @ Santa Anita and showing sharp early speed before returning to post a solid win @ Hollywood in his second start of the year (the same situation as tonight). Also note the return to Bejarano, who was aboard for both wins last year. Even better, he should get loose on the lead here, with none of his opponents figuring to have much interest in challenging the early pace. That should enable Bet On Victor to coast along on some pretty modest fractions, saving plenty of gas for the stretch run. He also figures to be a pretty good price here, showing what's easily the worst last-race Beyer in the field, and his late fade last time doesn't figure to get anyone too excited, especially on the stretchout to 7 furlongs. Square price on the most likely winner of the race.
HRT record:
79 for 295 (27%)
$663.60 mutuels ($8.40 avg)
#5 Bet On Victor (5/2 ml)
Speedy Cerin colt battled on some very fast early fractions while being very ambitiously placed when coming off a 10-month layoff, and understandably got tired late. Figures to have gotten quite a bit out of that race conditioning-wise, and note the similar pattern to what he did last year, coming off a long layoff @ Santa Anita and showing sharp early speed before returning to post a solid win @ Hollywood in his second start of the year (the same situation as tonight). Also note the return to Bejarano, who was aboard for both wins last year. Even better, he should get loose on the lead here, with none of his opponents figuring to have much interest in challenging the early pace. That should enable Bet On Victor to coast along on some pretty modest fractions, saving plenty of gas for the stretch run. He also figures to be a pretty good price here, showing what's easily the worst last-race Beyer in the field, and his late fade last time doesn't figure to get anyone too excited, especially on the stretchout to 7 furlongs. Square price on the most likely winner of the race.
HRT record:
79 for 295 (27%)
$663.60 mutuels ($8.40 avg)
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