Live Play -- 6/24 --CRC-WO-CD-EVD
tmffm
Banned
Hope this is COOL with Forum rules
CRC R3:
The chalk, #7, La Grey Zuliana, has a couple of nice races BUT the furthest she's gone is 5.5F; they're going 6.5F today. I like to bet against this type.
Of the others, #8, Shes Notable, appears to be one. She's too low to bet to win, however. Putting her OVER the 2 (the best of the rest, by default) and the 7 in exotics; and hoping that the HOU shipper, or any of the first time starters, don't mess me up.
CRC R3:
The chalk, #7, La Grey Zuliana, has a couple of nice races BUT the furthest she's gone is 5.5F; they're going 6.5F today. I like to bet against this type.
Of the others, #8, Shes Notable, appears to be one. She's too low to bet to win, however. Putting her OVER the 2 (the best of the rest, by default) and the 7 in exotics; and hoping that the HOU shipper, or any of the first time starters, don't mess me up.
Comments
One of the 1sters, #4, wins the race. the 2 places; the 7 shows; the 8 NADA
#4, Hopewell Terrace is the choice
exacta: 4/ 5
saver: 7/4 (can't let the juice beat me)
7 wins it; 4 and 5 no where
1 appears tough to beat; though I don't have complete confidence that he gets it done. I also like the 7; and have to include the 6, cutting back and 1st time lasix. box these and hope the 4 doesn't mess it up.
they ran 3-6-2-7
the 3 was the longest shot on the board and a FE shipper -- though he had some good WO form from last summer. Didn't look close enough but I can't bet FE horses @ WO.
exacta: 4 / 8
ran 7-DH2-4- 3
Pino should win this. #2, Sincerest.
box 1,2,5.
it's tough up at WO
I only see the 2 and 6 here. Maybe the 7 breaks up the exacta.
make that: maybe the 8 (Crawford County) breaks up the exacta
ran-1A-7-6-5
Interested in #6, Go Anna Go. Bet to win and use with 5,7,8 in exotics
Not an ideal race to play, with a lot of 1sters.
Going to take a shot with #7, Rob the Cradle. Closed very last 1st time out going 6F, in a race that didn't really come back. Now he cuts back 1/2 furlong after recently breezing a half in 47. Either he needs to be closer early (Campbell was asking him early last out and he wasn't responding) or the race needs to fall apart.
He's 5:1 with 3min to post and I'll bet to win @ those odds minimum.
The main track is now sloppy @ CRC and the finale, a very bettable turf race, has been taken off.
Time to grab some takeout before CD and EVD
don't think # 1, Summer Ending, loses here. But too low for a win bet.
Try a one number exacta: 1 / 8
EVD R2:
between the 1,2,4. box them, as I don't see why the chalk 1 needs to win this.
CD R4:
box 1/3/6
Churchill Downs - Race 4
# Win Place Show
3 $5.00 $3.40 $2.80
1 . $6.40 $4.60
6 . . $7.20
$2.00 Exacta 3-1 $28.00
$0.50 Trifecta 3-1-6 $66.00
Race 10 #2 SPICER ML 15-1 $10 W $20P
R3 8 with 1,2,4 tri and ex
don't think they're beating the 3.
tri
3 over 4,7,8
Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$0.50 Trifecta 3-8-4 $10.15
Private Offering, #5, has had a lot of chances; but she finished fairly well last out and if she's closer early (and should be given the 2nd race in a row at the distance) she has a shot to get the money.
Bet 5 to win but only @>= 10:1.
and/or exacta: 7/5
2,5,9 box