Belmont Sunday 9/11

FarinaFarina Senior Member
edited September 2011 in Horse Racing Forum
Belmont Sunday September 11, 2011

Race 1
1) Bombilla- eligible for a small slice with a ground saving trip but even that's a reach.
2) Tribeca- is properly spotted after no chance try in the slop. Prime contender.
3) Eleni's Hope- has gone backwards since the barn switch and see no reason for any turnaround here.
4) Red Hot Baby- gets much needed class relief and is the clear inside speed.
5) Sneaky Girl- is a plodding closing sprinter. Raced out to boot and really needs some rest.
6) Bobity Boo- is clearly a turf horse. Looking to get dumped with the turf season almost over.
7) Chaka Bwana- will be an early factor and nothing more.
8) Stellaluce- drops to 10 but still above the claimed for price. Better on the lead but must rate today and this field is too tough for that style from her.
9) Say Toba Sandy- will be way over bet off horrendous barn change and will not be used on any tickets.

Tribeca is the pick to win and place and a key in the double and pick 3.

Race 2
1) Wishful Tomcat- had brutal trip against better going two turns at Saratoga from the 11 post. Best horse in the race draws the rail and should be murderous against these.
2) Banking Holiday- fits at this level but I just don't understand the claim.
3) J J's Prophet- has just had enough and doesn't even possess his early speed anymore. Next.
4) Merlin Bay- is another raced out 4 year old completely mismanaged and in need of time off.
5) Parkinson Field- is a typical poorly spotted Lostritto piece. Would need an accident to get a piece.
6) Fine Flyer- must deal with Tomcat and would have a big chance with that one gone. Next time maybe.
7) French Transition- has raced 90 times. Yes, 90 times. The same as his trainers age. No chance.

Wishful Tomcat the key in all pools.

Race 3
1) Haya's Boy- toss last in the slop and either of prior two would demolish these.
2) All Zipped Up- yes, in a body bag.
3) Centripital- is making a nice living getting check after check at this level. Don't think they're losing on purpose but don't think they're complaining either.
4) Gypsy Warrior- is another who is always a factor.
5) Robbie's Turn- belongs at Finger Lakes.
6) Magic Jazz- could be one of the worst horses I've ever seen.
7) Pegasus Papou- should improve in this barn and had brutal trip in first start for them. Good longshot.

Haya's Boy is the pick and key on all tickets.

Race 4
1) Oh So Debonaire- is overmatched for hateful outfit. A filler.
2) Settle For Medal- is a plodding closer with little chance on speed favoring surface.
3) Mr Popps- is another dead rock closer who just broke maiden with a perfect trip. Toss.
4) Molly's Ship- repeats turf to dirt pattern that led to maiden breaker 2 back and is a speed popping possibility.
5) Launch N Relaunch- is an overbet contender. Nothing more.
6) Lubango- was privately purchased by great barn and now gets real dirt to race upon. Love this one today.
7) Raecinjasin- fits well but Lubango figures to be unbeatable. Check at best.

Lubango the absolute best bet of the day. Maybe the year.

Race 5
1) Zip Quick- is ordinary at best and meets a nice field of state breds.
2) Sky Blue Pink- is a one way closer and is always eligible for a piece.
3) Tap Attack- tries grass as a last gasp effort.
4) Piazza Di Spagna- is just plain hideous.
5) Rocky F- Has found a home on turf and has some kind of future.
6) Runaway Jim- was tremendous winning second start off the layoff and has turned into a really nice colt. The one to beat again.
7) Bishop Of Nola- is ultra tough when allowed the front and is in amazing form tossing the last in the slop.
8) Mr Enrico- races evenly in every start. Why not again.
9) Good Prospect-fits well at this level and gets positive trainer change.

Runaway Jim and Bishop of Nolaa are double keys. Use on all tickets.

Race 6
1) Eltish Star- is a stone closer completely overmatched. Pass.
2) Pretty Boy Freud- found that last race from somewhere.
3) Golden Gulch- fits well and adds blinkers as they try and fine tune this one.
1A) Almighty Silver- like entrymate is overmatched with nothing to offer.
4) Bold Warrior- is fine if you toss last. Off latest breeze, Jerkens has found the problem. Look out!!!
5) Seniors Pride- is way over his head.
6) Buffum- cost more than he's worth. In and outer is not without a chance but price will be hideously low.
7) Zimmer- has lots of spaces between races but has talent amongst the problems.

Bold Warrior is the pick with nowhere else to go.

Race 7
1) Conquesta- makes debut on turf. Tough read.
2) Patrice Marion- won't be a maiden for long.
3) Countess Theodora- has some nice works on the grass and could be any kind.
4) Sweet And Lovely- tries turf at huge price. Why not???
5) 6) 7) 8) all debut for live outfits. ???????????????????????
9) Woodford Lady- stretches out and tries grass adding lasix. Big shot on experience alone.
10) Hearts of Red- also tries grass off one sprint but bred to love it.
11) Dixie Darling- adds blinkers off tough trip grass debut.
12) Fly To The Sky- has run twice in races taken off the grass. Look out.
13) Bluegrass Sapphire and 14) Honey Talk both have experience and ability. Tough race.

Wheeling

Race 8
1) Make Note- is overmatched.
2) Gimme Credit- ditto.
3) Theresmyeverything- is unbeaten on turf and clearly has a bright future if able to stay healthy.
4) Compliance Officer- has good speed with the ability to rate. New barn adds to appeal.
5) Uncle T Seven- needs right setup but can fire at a big price if it does set up.
6) Straight Story- is clearly the class and could beat these on memory.
7) Pocket Cowboys- is a great turf horse and can go either way. Big shot.
8) Minnie Punt- comes off long layoff and is in tough spot to return.
9) Midnight Billy- overmatched closer.
10) Writingonthewall- pace factor at most.
Using 3,4,7

Race 9
2) Fly Ride- makes debut with turf works in tow.
3) Quartermain- tries turf.
4) Trade- makes turf debut in race impossible to separate anyone.
5) Indy Sea
6) Get Right
7) Richmond County- tired in slop in debut now gets grass. Interesting.
8) Silver Max- tries turf after solid second on dirt in debut. Overbet.
1) Apse- turns back after solid turf route in debut. Dangerous.
9) Party In The Sun- raced evenly in turf debut. Stretches a furlong.
10) Cozzetti- may be one of the last grey Cozzene's ever. Love him.
11) Thursby
12) Time Lord
13) Channel Quest- raced on turf in fake stake.

Cozzetti the pick and 7 Richmond County

Comments

  • coachesplayscoachesplays Member
    edited September 2011
    Great call on Race 4.
  • HoustonHouston Junior Member
    edited September 2011
    I wish that I had seen these yesterday.
    Awesome day Farina.
    Farina wrote: »
    Belmont Sunday September 11, 2011

    Race 1
    1) Bombilla- eligible for a small slice with a ground saving trip but even that's a reach.
    2) Tribeca- is properly spotted after no chance try in the slop. Prime contender.
    3) Eleni's Hope- has gone backwards since the barn switch and see no reason for any turnaround here.
    4) Red Hot Baby- gets much needed class relief and is the clear inside speed.
    5) Sneaky Girl- is a plodding closing sprinter. Raced out to boot and really needs some rest.
    6) Bobity Boo- is clearly a turf horse. Looking to get dumped with the turf season almost over.
    7) Chaka Bwana- will be an early factor and nothing more.
    8) Stellaluce- drops to 10 but still above the claimed for price. Better on the lead but must rate today and this field is too tough for that style from her.
    9) Say Toba Sandy- will be way over bet off horrendous barn change and will not be used on any tickets.

    Tribeca is the pick to win and place and a key in the double and pick 3.

    Race 2
    1) Wishful Tomcat- had brutal trip against better going two turns at Saratoga from the 11 post. Best horse in the race draws the rail and should be murderous against these.
    2) Banking Holiday- fits at this level but I just don't understand the claim.
    3) J J's Prophet- has just had enough and doesn't even possess his early speed anymore. Next.
    4) Merlin Bay- is another raced out 4 year old completely mismanaged and in need of time off.
    5) Parkinson Field- is a typical poorly spotted Lostritto piece. Would need an accident to get a piece.
    6) Fine Flyer- must deal with Tomcat and would have a big chance with that one gone. Next time maybe.
    7) French Transition- has raced 90 times. Yes, 90 times. The same as his trainers age. No chance.

    Wishful Tomcat the key in all pools. $4.20
    Race 3
    1) Haya's Boy- toss last in the slop and either of prior two would demolish these.
    2) All Zipped Up- yes, in a body bag.
    3) Centripital- is making a nice living getting check after check at this level. Don't think they're losing on purpose but don't think they're complaining either.
    4) Gypsy Warrior- is another who is always a factor.
    5) Robbie's Turn- belongs at Finger Lakes.
    6) Magic Jazz- could be one of the worst horses I've ever seen.
    7) Pegasus Papou- should improve in this barn and had brutal trip in first start for them. Good longshot.

    Haya's Boy is the pick and key on all tickets. $6.90
    Race 4
    1) Oh So Debonaire- is overmatched for hateful outfit. A filler.
    2) Settle For Medal- is a plodding closer with little chance on speed favoring surface.
    3) Mr Popps- is another dead rock closer who just broke maiden with a perfect trip. Toss.
    4) Molly's Ship- repeats turf to dirt pattern that led to maiden breaker 2 back and is a speed popping possibility.
    5) Launch N Relaunch- is an overbet contender. Nothing more.
    6) Lubango- was privately purchased by great barn and now gets real dirt to race upon. Love this one today.
    7) Raecinjasin- fits well but Lubango figures to be unbeatable. Check at best.

    Lubango the absolute best bet of the day. Maybe the year. $11.80 cold p3
    Race 5
    1) Zip Quick- is ordinary at best and meets a nice field of state breds.
    2) Sky Blue Pink- is a one way closer and is always eligible for a piece.
    3) Tap Attack- tries grass as a last gasp effort.
    4) Piazza Di Spagna- is just plain hideous.
    5) Rocky F- Has found a home on turf and has some kind of future.
    6) Runaway Jim- was tremendous winning second start off the layoff and has turned into a really nice colt. The one to beat again.
    7) Bishop Of Nola- is ultra tough when allowed the front and is in amazing form tossing the last in the slop.
    8) Mr Enrico- races evenly in every start. Why not again.
    9) Good Prospect-fits well at this level and gets positive trainer change.

    Runaway Jim and Bishop of Nolaa are double keys. Use on all tickets.

    Race 6
    1) Eltish Star- is a stone closer completely overmatched. Pass.
    2) Pretty Boy Freud- found that last race from somewhere.
    3) Golden Gulch- fits well and adds blinkers as they try and fine tune this one.
    1A) Almighty Silver- like entrymate is overmatched with nothing to offer.
    4) Bold Warrior- is fine if you toss last. Off latest breeze, Jerkens has found the problem. Look out!!!
    5) Seniors Pride- is way over his head.
    6) Buffum- cost more than he's worth. In and outer is not without a chance but price will be hideously low.
    7) Zimmer- has lots of spaces between races but has talent amongst the problems.

    Bold Warrior is the pick with nowhere else to go. $9.20
    Race 7
    1) Conquesta- makes debut on turf. Tough read.
    2) Patrice Marion- won't be a maiden for long.
    3) Countess Theodora- has some nice works on the grass and could be any kind.
    4) Sweet And Lovely- tries turf at huge price. Why not???
    5) 6) 7) 8) all debut for live outfits. ???????????????????????
    9) Woodford Lady- stretches out and tries grass adding lasix. Big shot on experience alone.
    10) Hearts of Red- also tries grass off one sprint but bred to love it.
    11) Dixie Darling- adds blinkers off tough trip grass debut.
    12) Fly To The Sky- has run twice in races taken off the grass. Look out.
    13) Bluegrass Sapphire and 14) Honey Talk both have experience and ability. Tough race.

    Wheeling

    Race 8
    1) Make Note- is overmatched.
    2) Gimme Credit- ditto.
    3) Theresmyeverything- is unbeaten on turf and clearly has a bright future if able to stay healthy.
    4) Compliance Officer- has good speed with the ability to rate. New barn adds to appeal.
    5) Uncle T Seven- needs right setup but can fire at a big price if it does set up.
    6) Straight Story- is clearly the class and could beat these on memory.
    7) Pocket Cowboys- is a great turf horse and can go either way. Big shot.
    8) Minnie Punt- comes off long layoff and is in tough spot to return.
    9) Midnight Billy- overmatched closer.
    10) Writingonthewall- pace factor at most.
    Using 3,4,7 ex $20.20
    Race 9
    2) Fly Ride- makes debut with turf works in tow.
    3) Quartermain- tries turf.
    4) Trade- makes turf debut in race impossible to separate anyone.
    5) Indy Sea
    6) Get Right
    7) Richmond County- tired in slop in debut now gets grass. Interesting.
    8) Silver Max- tries turf after solid second on dirt in debut. Overbet.
    1) Apse- turns back after solid turf route in debut. Dangerous.
    9) Party In The Sun- raced evenly in turf debut. Stretches a furlong.
    10) Cozzetti- may be one of the last grey Cozzene's ever. Love him.
    11) Thursby
    12) Time Lord
    13) Channel Quest- raced on turf in fake stake.

    Cozzetti the pick and 7 Richmond County $48.40
  • DiscreetCatDiscreetCat Moderator
    edited September 2011
    Farina wrote: »
    Lubango the absolute best bet of the day. Maybe the year.

    6 Lubango R. Maragh $11.80 $6.10 $4.20
    2 Settle for Medal J. Castellano $4.40 $3.30
    3 Mr. Popps A. Solis $3.60

    Great call!
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