11/19

tmffmtmffm Banned
edited November 2011 in Horse Racing Forum
WO R3:

#7, Rock's Sweet Thing: troubled start, green run on the backside, then closed a TON in a race that fell apart late. Adding a furlong today and I don't usually like these. But the fact that she was very green early and is adding blinkers today means she should run an improved effort -- though she'll probably be much closer to the pace (maybe she even sets it).

#12, Comtesse Crimson: coming out of the same race. Wins if the 7 doesn't.

Screw the 1sters

Comments

  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    Screwed by the 1sters.

    CD r4:
    between 3,4,7
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    WO R4:

    #3, Bull Got Shot: many chances; some good efforts; but no wins. Maybe today

    #1, Hawk's a Blur: 2nd time starter -- the main comp

    #8, King Tucker: the other one
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    Contreras doing his best Daniel Centeno impersonation. I mean, the horse has shown it doesn't like to win; at least give it a chance with a better ride.
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    WO R5:

    between 1,2,6
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    When Contreras isn't running his horse to death on the front end, which is the majority of his rides lately, he's putting forth some intelligent efforts. Like the one on the chalk 5 in the 5th, where he saved all the ground and tried to run down the, premature moving, 2 in the stretch. But Stein basically told him to go fuck himself and got that 20:1 shot home for me.

    Woodbine T-bred - Race 5
    # Win Place Show
    2 $43.90 $17.30 $12.50
    5 . $3.60 $3.00
    10 . . $4.10
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    WO R6:

    1 with 2, 5
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    AQU R8:

    6 and 4
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    WO R7:

    between the 8 and 6.

    also
    4 and 10 UNDER in exotics
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    hmmm

    my 'under' horses run 1-2
    the 6 (RIDICULOUSLY overbet) dueled with the 4 gave up 3rd just before the wire
    8 never threatened

    Woodbine T-bred - Race 7
    # Win Place Show
    4 $37.30 $14.10 $9.10
    10 . $7.30 $4.30
    1 . . $8.00

    $2.00 Exacta 4-10 $218.70
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    AQU R9:
    it's a crapshoot on the AQU turf
    #2, Mike and Rob
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    WO R8:
    shippers usually have a tough time @ WO but I'll make an exception here:

    9 OVER 3,4,.5,8
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    Cd R9

    5,6,8
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    6 won it @ CD @ 5:2. 5 set the pace and gave it up midstretch. 8 never a threat.

    ******************************************
    Interesting, and all too often recurring, scenario @ WO.
    9 never threatened.
    3 nosed out the 8, with the 5 and 4 closing out the tri and super

    big balloons

    Woodbine T-bred - Race 8
    # Win Place Show
    3 $12.70 $5.60 $3.70
    8 . $3.50 $3.60
    5 . . $5.70

    $2.00 Exacta 3-8 $61.40
    $2.00 Trifecta 3-8-5 $639.50
    $0.20 Superfecta 3-8-5-4 $367.96
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    WO R9-10 -- late double

    8,9,13
    with
    2,4,7,12
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    Woodbine T-bred - Race 9
    # Win Place Show
    9 $14.00 $5.30 $3.80
    13 . $2.90 $2.60
    5 . . $7.40

    $2.00 Exacta 9-13 $34.00


    Woodbine T-bred - Race 10
    # Win Place Show
    2 $10.00 $5.70 $3.40
    6 . $10.90 $5.80
    12 . . $2.70

    7 was 4th @ 19:1; 4 had a long lead and fell apart after blowing the turn.

    $2.00 Double 9/2 $73.20
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    **************** 11/20 *********************
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    WO R3:

    1 with 3,5,6
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    Woodbine T-bred - Race 3
    # Win Place Show
    3 $9.70 $5.10 $3.50
    1 . $3.40 $2.60
    5 . . $2.90

    $2.00 Exacta 3-1 $37.10
    $2.00 Trifecta 3-1-5 $95.20
    $0.20 Superfecta 3-1-5-6 $18.61
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    AQU R5: bet 4 and 5 for top spot

    also

    1 and 8 UNDER in exotics
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    4 won it @ AQU but @ 2:1; nada for the others

    *****************

    WO R4:

    1 WITH 8,10,11
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    WO R5: 9 or 13 supposed to win this one.

    5 is the chalk and there's a lot of speed in here but I don't think he gets it done -- definitely doesn't win it, at least

    my longshot is the 7, another kitten
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    too much action up front set it up perfectly for the 5 ; knew it but refused to go with it -- even hangers can win with perfect setups
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    WO R6:

    between 6,9,12

    edit:

    #10, is a HUGE overlay @ 30:1
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    had the exacta and tri (missed the super) but
    the 10 just missed 2nd @ 35:1, for what would've been signficantly better returns (exacta under the 12 was paying $175).

    can't complain
    Woodbine T-bred - Race 6
    # Win Place Show
    12 $7.10 $4.40 $3.40
    6 . $8.90 $5.50
    10 . . $14.60

    $2.00 Exacta 12-6 $58.00
    $1.00 Trifecta 12-6-10 $717.30
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    WO R7:

    going to try to beat the favorite, #8, Opening Meet. Doubtful this one gets that multi-layered setup it got last time. Especially given the cutback in distance today.

    Coming out of the same race is #10, Okiyama, who moved BEFORE the 8 and ran 41 feet more. Bet to win if > 10:1.

    My bomb here is #4, Trajectory's Dream. This one doesn't need the lead and I'm hoping the jock stalks, rather than duels or sets the pace, and pounces going into the turn. Win @ > 40:1.
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    WO R8:

    tough race: appears to be between #6, Embur's Song and #9, Atlantic Hurricane. These two figure to hook up (any other speed in the race is not of the caliber of these two) and try to take them around the track. Depending on how hard their jocks go at it, race could set up for the 3, ARiana D --- can't win without a perfect trip and #7, Happy Week -- figures to sit a nice stalking trip.
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    Ended up using the 9 on top but couldn't get the 6 or 7 in the 2nd slot. Once again proving that Pletcher is pretty much USELESS when he can't use his JUICE.
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    one more

    WO R9-10 -- Late double

    2,4,5,11
    with
    2,3,13
  • tmffmtmffm Banned
    edited November 2011
    Woodbine T-bred - Race 9
    # Win Place Show
    11 $15.30 $8.10 $6.40
    8 . $7.60 $6.90
    6 . . $13.30

    Woodbine T-bred - Race 10
    # Win Place Show
    3 $16.50 $7.20 $5.70
    6 . $13.20 $6.20
    2 . . $9.00

    $2.00 Double 11/3 $132.00

    Thought this should've been higher given the field sizes. But can't complain. Hard to spread but it was worth it.
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