11/23 -- live
tmffm
Banned
Get a few in before WO starts.
CD R8:
#4, Jocata: appears primed for top effort today.
#11, Irish Witch: high risk jock but the odds are high enough to have a go
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under horses:
#7, #3
CD R8:
#4, Jocata: appears primed for top effort today.
#11, Irish Witch: high risk jock but the odds are high enough to have a go
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under horses:
#7, #3
Comments
11 ran 4th @ 25:1 and would've returned a decent tri.
Churchill Downs - Race 8
# Win Place Show
4 $7.60 $3.80 $2.60
7 . $3.40 $2.60
9 . . $4.60
$2.00 Exacta 4-7 $20.60
#9, Juju: likes to win and is cutting back a furlong -- figures to get a nice setup
#10, Turf Warrior: cutting back, not tested on dirt, but might be a sneaky play here. Bet to win if > 20:1 and exactas with #9.
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#7, Variant: very nice race over the track/distance this past July -- should get a piece but won't use on top
#12, Home of the Gold: will be running late -- must use UNDER in exotics
had the exacta, but that's not really saying much
Churchill Downs - Race 10
# Win Place Show
9 $7.00 $3.60 $2.80
12 . $3.40 $3.00
11 . . $4.20
$2.00 Exacta 9-12 $18.80
Don't see much value here -- the favorites will be hard to beat
R1:
between
#1, Makar: bound to wire a field at some point
#8, Ready Response: dropping and is the one to beat
#5, The Wars Over: if I were to use a longshot it'd be this one
R2:
between
#9, Closing Scene: premature move last out; cutback should allow her to stalk -- Jordan THE JUICER conditions this one; so, either she gallops (if loaded up) or tanks at low odds, otherwise.
#8, WHeres the Bedroom: dropping and will probably be the pacesetter -- 'probably' because Ramsammy is up and anything is bound to happen.
#6, Gin Queen: the only long one that makes a little bit of sense
not worth going beyond 1,8 with 9/8 in doubles, given the early prices
between 3,4,7
#6, Village Drive: win, if > 10:1, and with 3 and 7 in exotics
#2, Guppy Smuggler
key in exotics with 3,5,8,12
#6, Accomplice, with 1,9,10
win bet #3, Occasio. Can't let this one get away at the odds
Woodbine T-bred - Race 6
# Win Place Show
1 $7.20 $4.40 $3.30
6 . $8.70 $5.40
7 . . $7.00
$2.00 Exacta 1-6 $68.70
Had the exacta, I liked the 6 and 1 best, BUT
Caroline Duquet outgamed Melanie Pinto and Emma Wilson late with the 35:1 shot and cost me the tri and super
R7: 3,8,9
with
R8: 4,5,7,12
ran 13-12-7-4