Early Derby Picks
wire2wire
Senior Member
I will post complete DERBY CARD on SATURDAY...but...right now I am liking...DADDY KNOWS BEST...UNION RAGS...BODEMEISTER...10/4/6 exotic wagers...w2w
Comments
I think a longshot can win the whole thing and I will use several of them in the 1-hole, including Daddy Nose Best, Rousing Sermon, Went The Day Well and perhaps Done Talking. I also think I have to use Gemologist on top. He could explode on Saturday.
Good luck everyone.
well i'm going to post my early picks but i'll post the whole card 2moro nite.
of course i'm picking the Ultimate #15 Gemologist ML 6/1 he's 2 for 2 @Churchill Downs plus he's coming into the derby with a flawless record. i see he's not getting to much talk but i like that .
silent but deadly......
i'm so sure i'm picking him to WP and a few exotics
after further review these are the Horses i'm playing with.
15 Gemologist ML6/1
6 Bodemeister ML 4/1
14 Hansen ML 10/1
3 Take Charge Indy ML 15/1
5 Dullahan ML 8/1
4 Union Rags ML 9/2
10$.
WP.# 15 Gemologist ($20.in play)
3$ ex.Key ($15. in play)
15/6,14,3,5,4
1$ tri-box ($24. in play)
15 Gemologist
6 Bodemeister
14 Hansen
3 Take Charge Indy
Was talking to Robert McNair's horse man, John Adger, and he told me that Steve Assman is going to be a force in the Derby.
In the Oaks, Adger said Bret Calhoun has #3, Summer Applause, who has been hung wide in her last few races and finished up very good. Added distance will help, gets Go Go in the saddle, and super works over CD surface leading up to the Oaks.
I have modified my Oaks super to 1/2/3--1/2/3--6/10/13--6/10/13
14) Hansen
8) Creative Cause
15) Gemologist
5) Dullahan
10) Daddy Nose Best
13 went the day well
19) I’ll Have Another
16) El Padrino
4) Union Rags or 15) Gemologist, just based on the post position draw I'm leaning toward Gemologist, the pills didn't do Rags any favors but I think he is the best horse and I am not quite sold with Leparoux being able to get the job done in this spot. He is a tremendous turf jock and handles the closers perfectly but this is a stalk and pounce horse and his ride in Fla was horrendous.
then I have 8) Creative Cause and 3) Take Charge Indy, don't really like the horse that much but I refuse to let Borail beat me for the fourth time in 6 years so he's going on my ticket.
probably play some bombs also in the 3rd and 4th spot. 13)Went the Day Well, 19) I'll Have Another
Also going heavy on the Oaks/Derby double which I have had alot of success with the last few years.
Oaks 1-3-4-6 w/ Derby 4-8-15
Good Luck to All!
14) Hansen
8) Creative Cause
15) Gemologist
5) Dullahan
~~Alpha~~
10) Daddy Nose Best
13 went the day well
19) I’ll Have Another
16) El Padrino ~~taking off card
However, the more I think about it, the more I like Dullahan. Will all the speed in this race, I think it will be run extremely fast. I think Dullahan is a better closer than Union Rags, so I'm changing my picks to:
Dullahan, Union Rags, Hansen