DRF's "Derby Watch" column
DiscreetCat
Moderator
Just noticed something in yesterday's DRF "Derby Watch" column that is flat-out ridiculous.
On the left-hand side after the horse's name and ranking, there's an odds listing called "Watchmaker's Odds", which ostensibly is Watchmaker's estimation of that horse's chance of winning the Derby. I mean, what else could it be, since he's not taking bets, right???
Anyway, right after that number comes the horse's closing odds in the just-ended Pool One of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager.
So, here's where it gets REALLY disingenuous (as if listing horses @ 6/1 halfway through February isn't disingenuous enough).
EVERY SINGLE HORSE on the list is showing "Watchmaker Odds" LOWER than the price that they closed at in the Kentucky Derby Future Wager. EVERY SINGLE HORSE.
I guess that means there wasn't a bad bet in that entire pool, right???
On the left-hand side after the horse's name and ranking, there's an odds listing called "Watchmaker's Odds", which ostensibly is Watchmaker's estimation of that horse's chance of winning the Derby. I mean, what else could it be, since he's not taking bets, right???
Anyway, right after that number comes the horse's closing odds in the just-ended Pool One of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager.
So, here's where it gets REALLY disingenuous (as if listing horses @ 6/1 halfway through February isn't disingenuous enough).
EVERY SINGLE HORSE on the list is showing "Watchmaker Odds" LOWER than the price that they closed at in the Kentucky Derby Future Wager. EVERY SINGLE HORSE.
I guess that means there wasn't a bad bet in that entire pool, right???
Comments
Yeah, almost as bad as the guy I saw going nuts yesterday, asking everyone if they had seen Capo Bastone (who he wisely bet in the futures), and proclaiming him the Derby winner "if he can stay sound." SMFH.
Capo Bastone came back with a lofty 69 Beyer. Pletcher noted, "he got a little tired at the end." Good luck with that.
BTW Watchmaker cut Super 99 from 30-1 to 15-1 after his win. LOL. How does that affect everyone else, or does he only lower odds.
Another BTW: John, your colt is 30-1 on his line.
Meanwhile, Palace Malice goes from not being on any previous list to all of a sudden being ranked 13th. Couldn't have anything to do with the fact he's entered this weekend, could it?
Btw, loving that 8/1 morning line. Too sweet.
Okay. I'm really done with female jockeys.
broke slow and she never had a good hold of him. Ran in a crowd and lost interest on the backstretch, then all over the fuckin track
I'm with you dirty----she did not have the strength to guide him the way he needed to be ridden.
See you all at Oaklawn in Rebel with Johnny V in the saddle!!!
She is terrible. She Cost me more money this past Saratoga meet!!!!!