Analysis for Besilu Stables Fountain of Youth Stakes
2daysrace
Senior Member
Gulfstream Park on Sat. Feb 21st - Race 11
There is a reason that we dont assign class figures to 2-yearolds;
as what theyve done in that first year doesnt always mean too much
in their soph season. Indeed, four of the last six winners of this race were
exiting Allowance races, while last years winner, Wildcat Red, came off a
win in the Hutcheson. Lets let the trend be our friend and well focus on
lightly-raced Allowance winners Gorgeous Bird and Itsaknockout. Both
are shooting for the hat trick after winning in a one-turn mile here last
month. They earned equal 138 Final Time Ratings, but Knockout stalked
a blistering pace in his Jan 4 win and he drew away late. He may have
more room to improve and lands the HF 15a. Hes from the Pletcher barn
and his #1 rider, Javier Castellano, takes over on Juan and Bina. That
one raced greenly behind Upstart in the Holy Bull, but the rider switch
suggests that better is possible. Upstart is the one to beat after stalking a
moderate pace and drawing away in the Holy Bull. That was his first start
since completing the Trifecta in the Breeders Cup Juvenile. His last win
came at this trip and hes an obvious threat right back. Bluegrass Singer
does well on paper, but was no match for Upstart Jan 24. He may simply
have bounced after recording back-to-back career tops in his previous
pair. Hes another with price potential. Finally, Frosted gets blinkers for
the first time after checking in 2nd in the Holy Bull and hes never been
worse than 2nd. He can move forward.
CLOSERS: Fastest in the stretch in recent races at or near this distance
have been: Danny Boy :30.7 - Upstart :32.1 - Gorgeous Bird :32.5
For analysis of the entire 12 race card at Gulfstream Park, visit Horse Racing Tips, Free Picks, Winning Handicappers
There is a reason that we dont assign class figures to 2-yearolds;
as what theyve done in that first year doesnt always mean too much
in their soph season. Indeed, four of the last six winners of this race were
exiting Allowance races, while last years winner, Wildcat Red, came off a
win in the Hutcheson. Lets let the trend be our friend and well focus on
lightly-raced Allowance winners Gorgeous Bird and Itsaknockout. Both
are shooting for the hat trick after winning in a one-turn mile here last
month. They earned equal 138 Final Time Ratings, but Knockout stalked
a blistering pace in his Jan 4 win and he drew away late. He may have
more room to improve and lands the HF 15a. Hes from the Pletcher barn
and his #1 rider, Javier Castellano, takes over on Juan and Bina. That
one raced greenly behind Upstart in the Holy Bull, but the rider switch
suggests that better is possible. Upstart is the one to beat after stalking a
moderate pace and drawing away in the Holy Bull. That was his first start
since completing the Trifecta in the Breeders Cup Juvenile. His last win
came at this trip and hes an obvious threat right back. Bluegrass Singer
does well on paper, but was no match for Upstart Jan 24. He may simply
have bounced after recording back-to-back career tops in his previous
pair. Hes another with price potential. Finally, Frosted gets blinkers for
the first time after checking in 2nd in the Holy Bull and hes never been
worse than 2nd. He can move forward.
CLOSERS: Fastest in the stretch in recent races at or near this distance
have been: Danny Boy :30.7 - Upstart :32.1 - Gorgeous Bird :32.5
For analysis of the entire 12 race card at Gulfstream Park, visit Horse Racing Tips, Free Picks, Winning Handicappers