Analysis for $400,000 San Felipe Stakes
2daysrace
Senior Member
Will Dortmund bounce? A bounce is when a horse
regresses after turning a top effort. Sometimes the top effort was difficult
to achieve and that was the case in the Robert B. Lewis Feb 7, as he
pressed the pace, was headed in mid-stretch, and was forced to re-rally to
beat the promising Firing Line. He earned a powerful figure for the class
that day and it would not have been too surprising should Baffert have
opted to train him up to the Santa Anita Derby. However, Baffert has been
two works into his undefeated soph and Dortmund figures to be a very
short price. The prospect of a bounce makes him at least somewhat
suspect, so he gets an HF 15a despite his lofty paper-race standing and
his likely low odds. Ocho Ocho Ocho won all three of his 2014 starts and
he capped the campaign with a narrow win in the Delta Jackpot Nov 22.
Hes trained well for his soph campaign and this is a logical spot for him to
make his return. Of course, the connections are likely pointing for April
and May, so he may not be completely cranked up. Pulmarack is racing
in good form and the Cal-bred ran well in defeat in the Cal Cup Derby Jan
24. He has improved since being stretched out for a Maiden here Oct 17
and the price may be fair. Bolo exits back-to-back turf wins and gets
tested for class while switched to the main track. Hes bred to handle the
distance and is quick enough to force the pace in a race without a
dedicated frontrunner. Prospect Park shoots for the hat trick after winning
two routes at this meeting. He, too, should be well spotted in the second
flight. The Gomper was favored to beat Park Jan 30, but was troubled
on the first turn and never recovered. Ellis gives him a confident class
hike and The Gomper is the upset threat.
CLOSERS: Fastest in the stretch in recent races at or near this distance
have been: Pulmarack :31.2 - Dortmund :31.7 - Lord Nelson :31.9
For full Santa Anita digest, visit Horse Racing Tips, Free Picks, Winning Handicappers
regresses after turning a top effort. Sometimes the top effort was difficult
to achieve and that was the case in the Robert B. Lewis Feb 7, as he
pressed the pace, was headed in mid-stretch, and was forced to re-rally to
beat the promising Firing Line. He earned a powerful figure for the class
that day and it would not have been too surprising should Baffert have
opted to train him up to the Santa Anita Derby. However, Baffert has been
two works into his undefeated soph and Dortmund figures to be a very
short price. The prospect of a bounce makes him at least somewhat
suspect, so he gets an HF 15a despite his lofty paper-race standing and
his likely low odds. Ocho Ocho Ocho won all three of his 2014 starts and
he capped the campaign with a narrow win in the Delta Jackpot Nov 22.
Hes trained well for his soph campaign and this is a logical spot for him to
make his return. Of course, the connections are likely pointing for April
and May, so he may not be completely cranked up. Pulmarack is racing
in good form and the Cal-bred ran well in defeat in the Cal Cup Derby Jan
24. He has improved since being stretched out for a Maiden here Oct 17
and the price may be fair. Bolo exits back-to-back turf wins and gets
tested for class while switched to the main track. Hes bred to handle the
distance and is quick enough to force the pace in a race without a
dedicated frontrunner. Prospect Park shoots for the hat trick after winning
two routes at this meeting. He, too, should be well spotted in the second
flight. The Gomper was favored to beat Park Jan 30, but was troubled
on the first turn and never recovered. Ellis gives him a confident class
hike and The Gomper is the upset threat.
CLOSERS: Fastest in the stretch in recent races at or near this distance
have been: Pulmarack :31.2 - Dortmund :31.7 - Lord Nelson :31.9
For full Santa Anita digest, visit Horse Racing Tips, Free Picks, Winning Handicappers