May 31, 2015 Churchill Downs, Race 5

2daysrace2daysrace Senior Member
edited May 2015 in Horse Racing Forum
Here's a Quick Way to Handicap Pace

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The par time is 1:12.6 and the paper race goes to Henry Ella in 1:13.6. Whenever you see that in a non-winner’s race, it’s a signal to look at the first and second-timers. Arya and Straight A. Hannah are both well-connected as their trainers win with 20+% of their first-timers. The former shows two gate works, but the latter has worked 10 furlongs in the last 12 days and should be fit. Both have OK win-early breeding. Arya is her dam’s ninth starter and is related to four winners while ‘Hannah is her dam’s third starter and the others are multiple sprint winners. They’ll share HF 15a status. Absara is the second-timer in the lineup and she is put up for sale for this. She can do better and is the longshot.
CLOSERS: Fastest in the stretch in recent races at or near this distance have been: Henry Ella :25.1 – Joe’s U. K. Girl :26.2

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