Saturday, Aug 15 Santa Rosa Race 4
2daysrace
Senior Member
ANALYSIS: Radiant Dancer set the pace and just missed off the bench vs. NW2L $25,000 stock July 25. He tops the charting, the drop in class can only help and Gonzalez takes over. Recency figures to make him more fit and well give Dancer the HF 15a. Rocky No pressed the pace and tired to 5th in that July 25 affair. A similar trip could land him in the drivers seat turning for home if there is a pace meltdown and he charts close. Mira Este was a pace factor only vs. NW2L $12,500 turf routers Aug 1. This seems a better spot as he won a dirt sprint July 5 and maybe he can make an impact vs. this group. CLOSERS: Fastest in the stretch in recent races at or near this distance have been: The Tom Squad and High Alert :17.6 Mira Este :17.9
The charting suggests there will be a speed duel between Radiant Dancer and Rocky No as they both have the exact top fractions at the first two points of call. While this might set up well for the closers, they are actually 1-2 in the charting. Still, there is a chance they could duel each other out. The Tom Squad and High Alert both own the two fastest last fractions and they could take advantage late.
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