Bc Distaff Analysis - Friday - 11-3-17
fbwinners
Senior Member
Longines Breeders' Cup Distaff1 1/8 Miles | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | G1 STAKES | PURSE: $2,000,000Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta Distaff - Classic Double Super High Five
We have a very solid field of 8 lined up this year for the BC Distaff. The major BUZZ horse is Elate a 3 yo filly from the Billy Mott barn. Shes a scant nose from coming into this race on a 4 race winning streak. We all know by now, shes working and galloping the best of this group. But this field is much saltier than her prior competition and her lone race against older last out. Im backing the forgotten mare and Im speaking of Forever Unbridled. Now let me give you my reasoning for backing her this afternoon. Shes been pointed to his race, since her 3rd place finish last year. That afternoon, she lost to Beholder and Songbird and was coming with her patent late run down the lane and only lost by 1 ¼ length. There are no Beholders or Songbirds in this years edition of the BC Distaff. These connections derived a plan after the BC last year and theyve stuck to it and Forever Unbridled has been a up to the task for them as well. This is only her 3rd race from last years BC, she came off the bench at Churchill Downs on June 17th. That night she broke from the rail and was ridden perfect by Joel. He took her 5 wide and she got up to win by a measured 1 ¾ lengths. Prior to the race Dallas Stewart stated she was 2-3 works short and this was the 1st step towards the BC. After the race, he was in complete shock that she finished in that manner.
Her next out was at the Spa in the Personal Ensign. The race only had 4 starters show up in the entry box, but one of them was Songbird. The pace of the race was in FAVOR for Songbird, she broke like a rocket and took up residence on the Golden Rail that afternoon. Dont let the experts tell you, Songbird was backing up as the final 1/8th was in 12.20!!! We should get a very honest pace to run at down the lane today, as this field on paper has many need to lead types. One thing I want to NOTE to you all is the WORK at Churhchill Downs on October 18th in 1:12 B at 6F. This is a very serious work, and its not a BUZZ work as no media outlets were on hand to report it. One big note, I want to bring to your attention is this mare has 7 career wins and they all have been over different racetracks. That speaks volumes from my POV!! My only concern is the jock switch to Jr., this mare is very quirky to ride and Joel has rode her to perfection in her last 6 starts. But Jr. has been aboard for 2 of her 7 career victories. Id like to know whos been working her in the AM! Look for a patient ride from Jr. at the break and Forever Unbridled will take up in the back of the pack, then I expect a huge move down the lane to catch the front runners and shell hold off the two 3yo coming up her hooves!!!
#6 FOREVER UNBRIDLED 4/1 WIN AND PLACE
EXACTA / TRI KEY 6 OVER 1-2-4-5-7
We have a very solid field of 8 lined up this year for the BC Distaff. The major BUZZ horse is Elate a 3 yo filly from the Billy Mott barn. Shes a scant nose from coming into this race on a 4 race winning streak. We all know by now, shes working and galloping the best of this group. But this field is much saltier than her prior competition and her lone race against older last out. Im backing the forgotten mare and Im speaking of Forever Unbridled. Now let me give you my reasoning for backing her this afternoon. Shes been pointed to his race, since her 3rd place finish last year. That afternoon, she lost to Beholder and Songbird and was coming with her patent late run down the lane and only lost by 1 ¼ length. There are no Beholders or Songbirds in this years edition of the BC Distaff. These connections derived a plan after the BC last year and theyve stuck to it and Forever Unbridled has been a up to the task for them as well. This is only her 3rd race from last years BC, she came off the bench at Churchill Downs on June 17th. That night she broke from the rail and was ridden perfect by Joel. He took her 5 wide and she got up to win by a measured 1 ¾ lengths. Prior to the race Dallas Stewart stated she was 2-3 works short and this was the 1st step towards the BC. After the race, he was in complete shock that she finished in that manner.
Her next out was at the Spa in the Personal Ensign. The race only had 4 starters show up in the entry box, but one of them was Songbird. The pace of the race was in FAVOR for Songbird, she broke like a rocket and took up residence on the Golden Rail that afternoon. Dont let the experts tell you, Songbird was backing up as the final 1/8th was in 12.20!!! We should get a very honest pace to run at down the lane today, as this field on paper has many need to lead types. One thing I want to NOTE to you all is the WORK at Churhchill Downs on October 18th in 1:12 B at 6F. This is a very serious work, and its not a BUZZ work as no media outlets were on hand to report it. One big note, I want to bring to your attention is this mare has 7 career wins and they all have been over different racetracks. That speaks volumes from my POV!! My only concern is the jock switch to Jr., this mare is very quirky to ride and Joel has rode her to perfection in her last 6 starts. But Jr. has been aboard for 2 of her 7 career victories. Id like to know whos been working her in the AM! Look for a patient ride from Jr. at the break and Forever Unbridled will take up in the back of the pack, then I expect a huge move down the lane to catch the front runners and shell hold off the two 3yo coming up her hooves!!!
#6 FOREVER UNBRIDLED 4/1 WIN AND PLACE
EXACTA / TRI KEY 6 OVER 1-2-4-5-7
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