Belmont Day Full Card Analysis

fbwinnersfbwinners Senior Member
edited June 2008 in Horse Racing Forum
Well this is the best card of the year for the Triple Crown races, we have some very tough races below and in 3 of the stakes races you have up to 4/5 horses that can win the race. Today is a day don't take anything less on your horse than you are expecting. Below I'm providing you all with my win contender and how to use my win contender in the exotics.

I hope everyone has a great day of racing and for those at the Big Sandy enjoy yourself to the fullest as you are about to see the next Triple Crown Winner!!!!

FB


BELMONT PARK
Saturday, June 7, 2008
Jump to race: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13

1st (Post time 12:00) - This is a very tough Alw race as you have 3 horses in this race you can make a case for 3 in this one and let's see if we can come out of the gate with a winner on this deep card.
6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance | Purse: $65,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML

1 9 Desert Key Prado E S Jerkens James A 119 L 3-1 - exotic

1A 11 Forest of Dreams Prado E S Jerkens James A 123 L 3-1 - exotic

2 1 Basha's Moon Castellano J J Trombetta Michael J 116 L 12-1

3 2 River of Dreams Morales S Parboo Bisnath 120 L 50-1

4 3 Light Sentence Rose J Dutrow Anthony W 119 L 12-1

5 4 Tizbig Velazquez J R Jerkens H Allen 116 Blk-On L 15-1 - exotic

6 5 Lemon Shore Garcia Alan Persaud Randi 120 L 50-1

7 6 Commandeered Desormeaux K J Mott William I 119 L 7-2 - I look for this one to be in the in the winners circle or at no worse than second. This one race his heart out first out agaisnt War Pass as a 2yo and his next one just bounced. He has came back as a 3you and won despite breaking dead last in a field of 12 and won on a hand ride that day. Mott then throws him to the wolves and he runs great go steady and finished 4 on beaten 2 lengths that day agasint a quality field. Should get the pace setup today and will mow them down through the lane. Win and Place and use in the 1st and 2nd hole in exotics depending on you bank roll.

8 7 Golden Age Velasquez C Terranova, II John P 120 L 8-1 - exotic

9 8 Executive Search Dominguez R A Jacobson David 120 L 12-1 - exotic

10 10 Handsome Reward Coa E M Contessa Gary C 116 L 10-1

11 12 Accredit Gomez G K McLaughlin Kiaran P 116 L 4-1 - exotic



A-Coupled: Desert Key and Forest of Dreams

Exacta, Trifecta, Super ($1), Pick 3 Race (1-3), Daily Double Wagers



2nd (12:32)

6 1/2 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $62,000 - This is a very nice MSW and there are quit a few that can win this one and that includes a couple 1sters in here. I'm just hoping the track is fast out of the gate and then will harrow it as time goes IMO.

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML

1 1 Unaccountable Coa E M Brown Chad C 118 FTL 15-1

2 2 Zong Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A 118 FTL 6-1 - Pletcher 1ster is suppose to be live. Exotic

3 3 Bob's Star Castellano J J Frankel Robert 118 L 5-1 - NY Clocker tells me this one wants the real dirt and has trained accordingly. Exotic

4 4 White Tie Garcia Alan McLaughlin Kiaran P 118 FTL 6-1 - Exotic

5 5 Cherokee Speed Maragh R Toner James J 118 L 30-1

6 6 Tiz It Velasquez C Terranova, II John P 118 L 5-2 - Exotic

7 7 Sixthirteen Hill C Hushion Michael E 123 L 7-2 - Hands down this 4you is the fastet colt in the race and if he can be just a little tighter for this affiar I see him in the winners circle for Hushion . They only pace factor in the race might come from a 1ster as Pletcher Zong is a half-brother to Half Ours which came out of the gate a winner and won his first 5 after a injury plagued career. Win and Place and the same with exotics horses

8 8 Jay Mike Leparoux J R Zito Nicholas P 118 L 15-1 - Watch out trouble trip last out and might turn the corner today, Zito runs them huge on Big Days. Wouldn't be suprised to see this one in the winners circle and the person next to you says how could you bet that horse? Read between the lines

9 9 Chaysen' Alex Luzzi M J Domino Carl J 118 L 30-1

10 10 Golden Weekend Prado E S Martin Carlos F 118 L 8-1



Exacta,Quinella,Trifecta, Super ($1), Pick 3 Races (2-4), Pick 4 Races (2-5) Daily Double Wagers



3rd (1:04)

1 1/8 Miles (Inner turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $57,000 - This has to be the toughest race on the card IMO and there are quit a few that can win this weeds race, I will tread lightly on this one in a betting aspect. I'm gong to play a 5 horse exacta/tri box

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML

1 1 O. T. Love Berrios Cruz J Aquilino Joseph 1117 L 50-1

2 2 Beyond Challenge Rose J Weaver George 118 L 20-1

3 3 Imperial Way Gomez G K O'Brien Keith 118 L 6-1 - exotic

4 4 Piazza Di Spagna Dominguez R A Sciacca Gary 118 L 5-1 - exotic

5 5 Seeking No More Maragh R Fisher Jack 123 L 6-1 - exotic

6 6 Hymnself Espinoza J L Duggan David P 118 L 15-1 - exotic

7 7 Second Mortgage Luzzi M J Kelly Patrick J 118 L 15-1

8 8 Smart Enuf Velasquez C Donk David 118 L 8-5

9 9 Marscaponi Castellano J J Bush Thomas M 118 L 15-1 - exotic

10 10 American Brave Hill C Carroll Del W II 118 Blk-On L 12-1

11 11 Quite Apt Chavez J F Tesher Howard M 118 L 15-1



Exacta, Trifecta, Super ($1), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Daily Double Wagers



4th (1:39)

1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance Optional Claiming ($50,000) | Purse: $68,000 - This race at at the mile distance is run more like a sprint race than a route race as you only make one turn on this oval at the 8f distance. There are quit a few contenders that can win this one and a clocker has told me about a colt in here that is eating up the Big Sandy and is going off huge odds. Look below to see how I played this one.

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML

1 3 Joaquin Memphis Prado E S Violette, Jr. R A 121 L 15-1

1A 5 Market Psychology Coa E M Violette, Jr. R A 121 L 15-1

2 1 Perfect Vow Hill C Peitz Daniel C 121 L 20-1 - CLOCKER SPECIAL - exotic

3 2 Fidelio Gomez G K Frankel Robert 116 L 8-1 - exotic

4 4 Forefathers Desormeaux K J Mott William I 121 L 3-1 - exotic

5 6 Vitruvius Velasquez C Jerkens James A 121 L 8-1 - exotic

6 7 Mobo Rose J Dutrow Anthony W 121 L 4-1 - exotic

7 8 Unbridled Danger Morales S Young Robert S 1147 L 50-1

8 9 Firejack Nakatani C S Pletcher Todd A 121 L 6-1

9 10 Admirality Leparoux J R Zito Nicholas P 118 L 12-1

10 11 Giant Deputy Castellano J J Hough Stanley M 123 L 12-1

11 12 Teide Garcia Alan McLaughlin Kiaran P 121 L 5-1 - Long run to the first turn and will get the perfect stalking trip and Garcia has won on this one back before and I think he gets it done again. WPS and use in the 1st and 2nd holes with exotic horses.



A-Coupled: Joaquin Memphis and Market Psychology

Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta, Super ($1), Pick 3 Races (4-6), Daily Double Wagers



5th (2:16)

6 1/2 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance | Purse: $59,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML

1 7 Endless Circle Garcia Alan Galluscio Dominic G 120 L 10-1

1A 13 Yukon Gold Rush Garcia Alan Galluscio Dominic G 119 L 10-1

2 1 Hawkwood Velasquez C Dutrow Anthony W 119 L 4-1 - exotic

3 2 Prince Dubai Hill C Gyarmati Leah 116 L 30-1

4 3 Wonforthegoodguys Chavez J F Jacobson David 120 L 15-1 - exotic

5 4 Commissioner Chris Rodriguez R R Persaud Randi 120 L 15-1

6 5 Gold Vendetta Castellano J J Goldberg Alan E 116 L 12-1

7 6 Dr. W Gomez G K Asmussen Steven M 116 L 8-1 - Like this ones chance for the Ass man against this field. This one IMO will take a step forward today in a bad ALW race and I will use him on top and underneath with exotic horses and make a WPS bet also.

8 8 Grand Treasure Morales S Hernandez Ramon M 1097 L 12-1 - exotic

9 9 Too Tough Pete Luzzi M J Schosberg Richard 119 L 5-1 - exotic

10 10 Revealer Dominguez R A Tullock Timothy Jr 119 L 12-1 - exotic

11 11 Papa Jerry Maragh R Gullo Gary P 120 L 20-1

12 12 Benny the Waiter Coa E M Levine Bruce N 116 L 3-1


A-Coupled: Endless Circle and Yukon Gold Rush

Exacta, Trifecta, Super ($1), Pick 3 Races (5-7), Daily Double Wagers



6th (2:56)
True North H. (G2)

6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $250,000 - I'm going to only make a super key in this race with Benny the Bull in the 1st and 2nd holes with the horse I marked below. Let's just hope he runs second and Man of Danger can take them gate to wire.
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML

1 1 Saint Daimon Sanchez J Jerkens H Allen 113 L 30-1 - exotic

2 2 Thor's Echo Gomez G K O'Neill Doug 119 Blk-On L 7-2 - exotic

3 3 Storm in May Castellano J J Kaplan William A 114 L 50-1

4 4 Abraaj Garcia Alan McLaughlin Kiaran P 115 L 5-1 - exotic

5 5 Suave Jazz Dominguez R A Dutrow Anthony W 115 L 12-1 - exotic

6 6 Council Member Chavez J F Hertler John O 114 L 20-1

7 7 Benny the Bull Prado E S Dutrow, Jr. R E 123 L 4-5

8 8 Man of Danger Velazquez J R Levine Bruce N 115 L 10-1 - exotic




Exacta, Trifecta, Super ($1), Pick 3 Races (6-8), Pick 6 Races (6-11) Daily Double Wagers



7th (3:36)
Just a Game S. (G1)

1 Mile (Turf) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $400,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML

1 1 Lady of Venice (FR) Prado E S McLaughlin Kiaran P 118 L 4-1 -I absolute love this mare today as this is her second start as a 5yo and she is the real deal. Prado should get a ground saving trip after that parking lot trip last out and I really cannot see this mare running no worse than second and will be highly disappointed if she doesnt win. McLaughlin has this mare ready to peak on the weeds today for his second start with her and she will find a way to the winners circle as she has the upmost winning attitude and turn of foot in this field. Big WIN/PLACE and let's see if we can cash this super and lock up a big day.
2 2 Spenditallbaby Leparoux J R Abrams Barry 118 Blk-Off L 30-1

3 3 Bit of Whimsy Castellano J J Tagg Barclay 120 L 4-1 -

4 4 Ventura Gomez G K Frankel Robert 120 L 10-1 -

5 5 Criminologist Velazquez J R McGaughey III C R 118 L 9-2

6 6 Forever Together Dominguez R A Sheppard Jonathan E 118 L 30-1

7 7 Bayou's Lassie Albarado R J Romans Dale 118 L 5-1 -

8 8 Sharp Susan Desormeaux K J Mott William I 118 L 15-1

9 9 Them There Eyes Espinoza J L Feron Kathleen M 118 L 20-1

10 10 Vacare Nakatani C S Clement Christophe 118 L 3-1 -

Super Key - 1 - 3-5-7-10 - 3-4-5-7-9-10-3-4-5-7-9-10

3-5-7-10 - 1 - 3-4-5-7-9-10 - 3-4-5-7-9-10


Tri Key - 1 - 3-4-5-7-9-10 - 3-4-5-7-9-10

3-4-5-7-9-10 - 1 - 3-4-5-7-9-10

Exacta, Trifecta, Super ($1), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Grand Slam Races (7-10) Daily Double Wagers



8th (4:16)
Acorn S. (G1)

1 Mile | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $250,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML

1 1 Zaftig Velazquez J R Jerkens James A 121 L 3-1 - exotic

2 2 Indian Blessing Gomez G K Baffert Bob 121 Blk-Off L 1-1 - exotic

3 3 Game Face Coa E M Pletcher Todd A 121 L 5-2 - exotic

4 4 Dance Gal Dance Maragh R Ritvo Timothy 121 L 20-1

5 5 Golden Doc A Desormeaux K J Abrams Barry 121 L 6-1 - Love this filly chance in this race as this race reminds me of last years race as they had a ton of speed with Dream Rush and the rest and Cotton Blossom circled the field on them to win going awasy and I see Kent D. doing the same thing today at a squrae price. Win and Place



Exacta, Trifecta, Pick 3 Races (8-10), Pick 4 Races (8-11), Daily Double Wagers



9th (4:56)
Woody Stephens S. (G2)

7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $250,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML

1 1 True Quality Velasquez C DeMola Joseph 117 L 12-1

2 2 Ready's Image Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A 121 L 2-1 - exotic

3 3 Silver Edition Dominguez R A Lukas D Wayne 119 L 5-1

4 4 Groomedforvictory Castellano J J Tagg Barclay 119 L 8-1 - exotic

5 5 J Be K Gomez G K Asmussen Steven M 123 L 3-1 - exotic

6 6 Fatal Bullet Prado E S Baker Reade 119 L 8-1 - Going to take a shot with this canadian invader and he get his first shot at the real stuff as he has been running on that sticky stuff at Woodbine. Will make a nice WPS on this colt and use him in exotics 1st,2nd, and 3rd.

7 7 Ling Ling Qi Albarado R J McPeek Kenneth G 117 L 15-1 - exotic

8 8 Run With Me Garcia Alan Iwinski Allen 117 L 30-1

9 9 Majestic Warrior Desormeaux K J Mott William I 121 L 12-1 - exotic


Exacta, Trifecta, Super ($1) Pick 3 Races (9-11), Daily Double Wagers



10th (5:36)
Woodford Reserve Manhattan H. (G1)

1 1/4 Miles (Inner turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $400,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML

1 5 Better Talk Now Dominguez R A Motion H Graham 119 L 8-1

1A 11 Shake the Bank Rose J Motion H Graham 114 L 8-1

2 1 Interpatation Espinoza J L Barbara Robert 114 L 30-1

3 2 Shakis (IRE) Garcia Alan McLaughlin Kiaran P 116 L 10-1 - exotic

4 3 Stalingrad Hill C Hushion Michael E 114 L 20-1

5 4 Out of Control (BRZ) Gomez G K Frankel Robert 117 L 4-1 - Really like this Frankel horse today as there isn't any real speed in this race beside the rabbit and the one bleow that is going to take them a long way today with JJ aboard and GoGo is going to be sitting in the garden spot and if he makes the right timed move with the horse he will be in the winners circle and Frankel loves to shine on Belmont day. The other Frankel runner in this one has been battling a bad quarter crack that is so long between races. Win and Place on this one. 1st / 2nd with exotic horses.

6 6 Strike a Deal Castellano J J Goldberg Alan E 115 L 12-1 - exotic

7 7 Cougar Bay (IRE) Coa E M Tagg Barclay 115 L 12-1

8 8 Pays to Dream Prado E S Donk David 116 L 8-1 - exotic - Cashed huge with him last out at 19/1

9 9 Proudinsky (GER) Velazquez J R Frankel Robert 118 L 7-2 - exotic

10 10 Dancing Forever Douglas R R McGaughey III C R 118 L 5-1 - eotic

11 12 Stream of Gold (IRE) Albarado R J McLaughlin Kiaran P 118 L 8-1 - exotic




A-Coupled: Better Talk Now and Shake the Bank

Exacta, Trifecta, Pick 3 Races (10-12), Pick 4 Races (10-13) Daily Double Wagers



11th (6:25)
Belmont S. (G1)

1 1/2 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $1,000,000 - The really only thing to do is just sit back with family and friends and watch greatness today as Big Brown is going to put on a show for the world. Wager below!!!!!!!!

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML

1 1 Big Brown Desormeaux K J Dutrow, Jr. R E 126 L 2-5

2 2 Guadalcanal Castellano J J Seitz Fred 126 50-1

3 3 Macho Again Gomez G K Stewart Dallas 126 L 20-1

4 4 Denis of Cork Albarado R J Carroll David 126 L 12-1

5 5 Casino Drive Prado E S Fujisawa Kazuo 126 7-2

6 6 Da' Tara Garcia Alan Zito Nicholas P 126 L 30-1

7 7 Tale of Ekati Coa E M Tagg Barclay 126 L 20-1

8 8 Anak Nakal Leparoux J R Zito Nicholas P 126 L 30-1

9 9 Ready's Echo Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A 126 L 30-1

10 10 Icabad Crane Rose J Motion H Graham 126 L 20-1


Super Key - 1 - 4-5-7-9-10 - 3-4-5-7-9-10 - 3-4-5-7-9-10



Exacta, Trifecta, Super ($1), Pick 3 Races (11-13) Daily Double Wagers Leg B of the BROOKLYN/BELMONT Daily Double


These plays below are only for people with big bankrolls, with a card that is this tough you can count on some big prices coming in today and that will blow up these pick 3's and pick 4's


PICK 4

8 - 1-2-3-5

9 - 2-4-6-7-9

10 - 3-5-6-8-9-10-11

11 - 1

$140.00 FOR A $1.00 WAGER



ROLLING PICK 3'S

1 - 1-5-7-11

2 - 2-3-6-7-8

3 - 3-4-5


2 - 2-3-6-7-8

3 - 3-4-5-8

4 - 2-4-5-11


3 - 3-4-5-8

4 - 2-4-5-6-11

5 - 2-7-8-9


4 - 2-3-4-5-6-11

5 - 2-6-7-8-9

6 - 4-7-8


5 - 2-6-7-8-9-10

6 - 4-7-8

7 - 1-9-10


6 - 4-5-7-8

7 - 1-3-4-9-10

8 - 2-3-5


7 - 1-3-4-5-9-10

8 - 1-2-3-5

9 - 2-4-6-7-9


8 - 1-2-3-5

9 - 2-4-6-7-9

10 - 5-6-8-9-10


Daily Doubles

Race 6 - 4-7-8
Race 7 - 1-10

Race 7 - 1-3-10
Race 8 - 2-3-5

Race 8 - 1-2-3-5
Race 9 - 2-4-6-7-9

Race 9 - 2-4-6-7-9
Race 10 - 4-6-8-9-10


Pick 6

6 - 7

7 - 1-3-10

8 - 2-3-5

9 - 2-4-6-7-9

10 - 5-6-8-9-10

11 - 1

Comments

  • wire2wirewire2wire Senior Member
    edited June 2008
    great imput...thanks for your efforts...w2w
  • fbwinnersfbwinners Senior Member
    edited June 2008
    My pleasure, hope we have a great day of racing.

    FB
  • DuckgawdDuckgawd Senior Member
    edited June 2008
    I think today is going to be a spectacular day!

    I didn't get the chance to handicapp the undercard, so Im going to ride with you FB!!!! See if we can get some good prices!
  • JermanJerman Senior Member
    edited June 2008
    Thanks for posting today.
  • WildhorseyWildhorsey Member
    edited June 2008
    great picks! I won w/ Forever together in race 7!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!11
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