Horse Racing - Saturday
DiscreetCat
Moderator
Arlington - Race 8 (The Beverly D.)
#4 Lady of Venice (9/2 ml)
Extremely tough field here (obviously), but i think the race sets up perfectly for her. There's a lot of speed up front, and the ground today will reportedly be a little deep and tiring. That should set it up for Lady of Venice's powerful late run. She's handled soft ground very well in the past, so no problem there. In fact, it gives her an edge on those who might not like it. Main concern is that she's never run this far before, but Biancone/Leparoux faced the exact same situation with Gorella in this race last year, and she came through with flying colors. Looking for a big run out of this filly today.
HRT record:
6 for 18 (33%)
$52.90 mutuels ($8.82 avg)
#4 Lady of Venice (9/2 ml)
Extremely tough field here (obviously), but i think the race sets up perfectly for her. There's a lot of speed up front, and the ground today will reportedly be a little deep and tiring. That should set it up for Lady of Venice's powerful late run. She's handled soft ground very well in the past, so no problem there. In fact, it gives her an edge on those who might not like it. Main concern is that she's never run this far before, but Biancone/Leparoux faced the exact same situation with Gorella in this race last year, and she came through with flying colors. Looking for a big run out of this filly today.
HRT record:
6 for 18 (33%)
$52.90 mutuels ($8.82 avg)
Comments
#2 The Leopard (8/5 ml)
$2.5 million 2yo purchase for Pletcher went off @ 2/5 in his debut, and ran extremely well behind the super-impressive winner Fed Watcher. Pletchers hits at 30% with second-time 2yo's @ Saratoga, and this horse comes in off a heads-up drill with the older multiple stakes-winner Sunriver, who's entered in the Arlingtom Milion today. Going further, his main adversary Immortal Eyes (who also ran great in that Fed Watcher race) was entered on July 25 (coming off a heads-up drill with Fed Watcher), and was scratched. He didn't record another work until August 5, so something might be amiss here.
Cancel that; NO PLAY.
#1 Midnight Slammer, #1A Yukon Gold Rush (6/5 ml)
Another big favorite here, but this entry is incredibly strong, and they just opened @ even-money (which i'm willing to take). Midnight Slammer contested an exceptionally fast pace on July 20, moving faster than the super-impressive 2yo winner Riley Tucker, and also faster than an open-lengths 3yo allowance winner on the same card. Faded back to third, but again, the final time was extremely fast, and it was 7 lengths back to the rest of the pack. This horse was really moving. His entrymate Yukon Gold Rush just missed in his debut (at Saratoga), and you get him just for good measure. Might not be a bad idea to bet to place also, as the entry could easily run 1-2 here.
3/5 with 5 min to post.............(N)
#2 Admiralofthefleet (3/1 ml)
This horse comes out of BY FAR the best race, and wasn't beaten by a whole lot. He also likes soft ground.
#3 Doctor Dino (6/1 ml)
#8 Danak (5/1 ml)
I'm betting both horses here, as the two American horses (currently the two favorites on the toteboard) are liable to knock each other out on the front end here, especially with the course being deep and tiring. Neither horse has raced on soft ground, either. Meanwhile, Danak comes out of a key race in Europe. The winner (Notnowcato) came back to win the Coral-Eclipse (beating the English Derby winner and Arc favorite Authorized), while the second-place finisher Dylan Thomas came back to win the King George. Third-place finisher Youmzain is an outstanding animal also. Doctor Dino ran close to Dylan Thomas himself, then went to Singapore for a big race where he ran close again. He has a history of running well on soft ground.
Both to WPS? In Exactas?
Whatcha think?
MLB Totals: I bet 60% on Danak to win, 40% on Doctor Dino to win, and boxed them in an exacta.
Unfortunately it didn't work out for us.
No big deal. Thanks a bunch for continuing to post here.
Not sure if you like to bet bases, but the Tigers are a good play tonight.
Good Luck and thanks again
#10 My Little Margie (5/1 ml)
European import for McAnally has been training extremely well, and looks like a major threat in here. She was actualy entered straight into allowance company (vs. males) for her first two starts overseas before cruising to an open-lengths score while in hand when finally given her chance vs. maiden fillies. She was apparently very-highly regarded over there as well, getting bet to 4/5 and even-money in her last two starts (vs. reasonably large fields). Looks like a private purchase for the Kirkwoods, who have had some big-time horses with McAnally in the past.
#3 Karazi (8/1 ml)
French import for Sadler has been training lights-out for this one, and Sadler has been phenomenal with foreign acquisitions of late. He got gigantic runs out of Crossing The Line and Black Mamba, neither of whom was entered in a stakes race for their American debut. So it's a big sign of confidence that he drops this horse straight into the Grade 2 La Jolla Handicap. No easy spot., but i'm certain this horse is very live. Incidentally, the other two Sadler imports i mentioned were sent here for Double Down Stables. This one is not; but he's apparently a private purchase by Edmund Gann, who had a ton of success with private purchases for Bobby Frankel over the years. Looking for a big run out of this horse.
Sorry for any confusion.