Pletcher to enter a rabbit in the Florida Derby?

DiscreetCatDiscreetCat Moderator
edited March 2009 in Horse Racing Forum
from the Fort Worth Star-Telegram:

Todd Pletcher said one thing worries him about Saturday’s Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park: Quality Road running easily and unchallenged. Actually, Pletcher said the one thing he didn’t want to see Saturday was “a horse the caliber of Quality Road” alone and cruising on the lead. But the only horse the caliber of Quality Road is, well, Quality Road. And from Pletcher’s point of view, that’s the problem.

That’s why the trainer said he’s “strongly considering” entering a maiden named Europe in the Florida Derby. Europe would be, of course, nothing more than a “rabbit,” a horse with little chance -- or, in this case, absolutely no chance -- of winning, but a horse with a mission -- in this case, a suicidal one. And that mission, of course, is to ensure a lively pace, or, as Pletcher put it, “to make sure it’s at least an honestly run race.”

And this magic act, this pulling a rabbit out of his barn, might be a good thing -- not only for Pletcher and the Florida Derby, but also for Quality Road.

Dunkirk, of course, is Pletcher’s hope for the Florida Derby. A $3.7 million yearling who’s unbeaten in two races, Dunkirk looked just about as good as a horse possibly can at this point in his development when he won an allowance race at Gulfstream on Feb. 19 by nearly five lengths despite a wide trip.

But he has no graded earnings, and Saturday’s race may be his only opportunity to collect some. That’s why a good performance is essential: Without it, Dunkirk probably won’t get into the Kentucky Derby field.

Dunkirk could very well be as talented as Quality Road, the Fountain of Youth winner, and at longer distances he could even prove to be superior. But Dunkirk doesn’t have Quality Road’s speed. Nor do Beethoven and Theregoesjojo, who’ll be the other contenders in what’s expected to be a small Florida Derby field. And so Quality Road could indeed control the pace Saturday and have everything his own way; he could turn the Florida Derby into a Florida Strollinthepark.

In the Fountain of Youth, Quality Road pressed an opening half-mile of 45.55 -- and, keep in mind, the opening splits for the one-mile distance at Gulfstream are typically and deceptively slow -- and then drew clear down the lane to win by more than four lengths. Of course, as his trainer, Jimmy Jerkens, pointed out, the two turns of the Florida Derby represent a very different challenge from the one-turn of the Fountain of Youth, which was essentially a long sprint. Still, if the long-striding colt who’s a silky mover gets into a loping, cruise-control sort of rhythm on an unchallenged lead in, say, 47.20 for the opening half-mile, he’ll be as hard to catch as your shadow.

Who can run with him? Well, maybe Europe, although only briefly. He has started only once, on Feb. 21 at Gulfstream: He didn’t break sharply and was about 7 1/2 lengths behind a swift opening half-mile in 45.12 before finishing fourth, beaten about 11 lengths after five furlongs by Presto Change O. If asked, Europe could probably find enough early speed to force or set a lively pace in the Florida Derby, and that’s all Pletcher would expect from him.

Is that fair? Is it sporting? Well, it’s not only sporting, it’s in keeping with one of sport’s time-honored traditions. Using one competitor to ensure a lively pace for the advantage of another has been a traditional ploy in racing of all kinds. Without Chris Chataway as a pacesetter, Roger Bannister wouldn’t have broken the four-minute barrier for the mile, or at least not when he did, on May 6, 1954. Without such a strategy, Buckpasser and Damascus wouldn’t have beaten Dr. Fager. And Jerkens said if he were in Pletcher’s position, he would consider doing the same thing.

The irony is that Europe’s participation could also work to the advantage of Quality Road, not in the Florida Derby perhaps but maybe in the Kentucky Derby. If Quality Road is going to be successful May 2, he may have to rate behind a very lively pace, he may have to stalk a speedy pacesetter, or he may have to do, in other words, exactly what Europe could force him to do Saturday.

Quality Road is fast, very fast, but, Jerkens said, the colt isn’t headstrong. Quality Road will allow himself to be rated.

“I’d be surprised if he didn’t handle it,” Jerkens said about Quality Road’s stretching out around two turns for the first time and to Saturday’s nine-furlong distance. He’s developing, Jerkens said, into the kind of horse who could be “a real good one.” And a European presence might even enhance that development.

Comments

  • rayphilrayphil Senior Member
    edited March 2009
    That Is One Expensive Rabbit...he Cost Almost As Much As Dunkirk.....
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