My Derby Pick
Mikenyce
Senior Member
#11 Chocolate Candy
Might not be fast enough but who really is in this race? Dunkirk? Who ran on a jacked up Gulfstream park on Florida Derby day. No Thanks. If you look at CC latest 7 beyer figures this horse is improving every race. I usually dont rely to much on Beyers speed figures but in this case he is improving and I think he is sitting on a big race. Got fanned 5 wide in his latest and still was coming on at the end. I also like the way he was trained up to the derby. First work at CD was at a mile and then he tightened the horse up with 5 furlongs recently. The one thing that I dont really like is the fact (Like someone else stated in the forum) It took him a few times to break his madien. I discard the first try cause it was at 4 1/2 furlongs but it still took him 3 times after that race. He did get the positive jockey switch with Smith and should be somewhere around 15-1 or so today. Im going to key him in with a few horses. I have a future wager on him from pool 1 at 29-1 so might leave the win ticket out of it.
Longshot play: #1 West Side Bernie
Whenever I look at the form with this horse all I see is the fact that this horse has:
-1. Run the distance of ground every race
-2. Broke his madien on first asking (Which I think is always a plus)
-3. Has run in 6 races after breaking his madien and all 6 have been graded stakes. Other than the Lanes End? This horse has showed up for every race. Gotta a feeling when they cross the wire he is going to be somewhere in the mix.
-4. Threw a 101 beyer figure in his latest
Good luck I hope everyone makes some $$$ today!
Might not be fast enough but who really is in this race? Dunkirk? Who ran on a jacked up Gulfstream park on Florida Derby day. No Thanks. If you look at CC latest 7 beyer figures this horse is improving every race. I usually dont rely to much on Beyers speed figures but in this case he is improving and I think he is sitting on a big race. Got fanned 5 wide in his latest and still was coming on at the end. I also like the way he was trained up to the derby. First work at CD was at a mile and then he tightened the horse up with 5 furlongs recently. The one thing that I dont really like is the fact (Like someone else stated in the forum) It took him a few times to break his madien. I discard the first try cause it was at 4 1/2 furlongs but it still took him 3 times after that race. He did get the positive jockey switch with Smith and should be somewhere around 15-1 or so today. Im going to key him in with a few horses. I have a future wager on him from pool 1 at 29-1 so might leave the win ticket out of it.
Longshot play: #1 West Side Bernie
Whenever I look at the form with this horse all I see is the fact that this horse has:
-1. Run the distance of ground every race
-2. Broke his madien on first asking (Which I think is always a plus)
-3. Has run in 6 races after breaking his madien and all 6 have been graded stakes. Other than the Lanes End? This horse has showed up for every race. Gotta a feeling when they cross the wire he is going to be somewhere in the mix.
-4. Threw a 101 beyer figure in his latest
Good luck I hope everyone makes some $$$ today!
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