Brewers +110

DiscreetCatDiscreetCat Moderator
edited June 2009 in Horse Racing Forum
Getting a price here on one of the best pitchers in the league (Gallardo). Road era is fine @ 3.48, but it should be even lower based on the excellent 1.16 whip. He also pitched a very strong 7 innings in his only previous start @ Turner Field (albeit back in 2007). Gallardo can be a bit inconsistent, but he's dominant more often than not. Always worth a look at this kind of price, especially vs. a mediocre team like the Braves.

Conversely, Jurrjens has a home era of 3.08 this year, but that is in no way whatsoever backed up by his whip, which is terrible @ 1.44. And that number is no fluke, considering that his career home whip is 1.48 (covering 138 innings). As you might expect from that, his career home era is a full run higher than it is on the road (where he's posted a very fine 1.16). Very strange, as generally it's the other way around, but the numbers don't lie. Clearly Jurrjens is a quality pitcher overall, but he definitely has home issues for whatever reason, and his sparkling 2.59 overall era looks to be an aberration.

Plus, i think the oddsmakers have slanted the line a bit here with the publicity over McLouth joining the lineup today (fine hitter that he is). Good value on the Brew Crew.

Comments

  • fbwinnersfbwinners Senior Member
    edited June 2009
    Jun 05 04:35 PM
    INTERNET / -1 Jun 05 04:28 PM
    MLB
    STRAIGHT BET
    [907] MIL BREWERS -104 ( Y GALLARDO -R/ ACTION )

    3120/ 3000
  • DiscreetCatDiscreetCat Moderator
    edited June 2009
    Wow.

    Let's get this one, FB.



    Btw, how did you end up laying -104? Was there a late move on the game?
  • hue21998hue21998 Banned
    edited June 2009
    Good luck Guys!!
  • edited June 2009
    Fb.............just Out Of Curiosity Did You Bet That Game At 4 .25 Pm ---104
  • DiscreetCatDiscreetCat Moderator
    edited June 2009
    The game didn't start until 4:35
  • edited June 2009
    The Reason I Ask Is Im Curios Why The +110 To Fb Laying -104 Unless Every Newyorker Bet That Game As There Baseball Bettor Hondo Gave This As His Pick Today In The Sports Page...
    Brewers Up 2--0 In Fourth...
  • DiscreetCatDiscreetCat Moderator
    edited June 2009
    My guess would be that FB has limited outs; the nevertheless i was curious about the price myself. I checked the local Vegas odds after i saw his post, and the LV Hilton (pretty much the standard here in town) was still showing +110.

    Here's a good link for you baseball bettors, btw:

    MLB Las Vegas Odds, Betting Lines and Point Spreads at VegasInsider.com, the leader in Sportsbook and Gaming information - MLB Odds, MLB Spreads, MLB Lines, MLB Money Line, Pro Baseball Odds, Pro Baseball Spreads, Pro Baseball Lines, Pro Baseball Mon
  • edited June 2009
    My First Thought Maybe There Was A Pitching Change...and I Agree With You 100 Percent About Vegas Hilton Sportsbook...there The Tops For Football As Well........just Between You And I ..pletcher Surprised Me Running Afirmatiff Today When The Race Was Taken Off The Grass.....the Reason I Say That Is Because He Nominated Him For The Colonial Downs Cup Stakes For $500,000.....i Guess He Really Doesent Want To Run In That Race.....
  • DiscreetCatDiscreetCat Moderator
    edited June 2009
    Brewers win, 4-0.

    Congrats FB!!!
  • hue21998hue21998 Banned
    edited June 2009
    Nice Call DC!!
  • fbwinnersfbwinners Senior Member
    edited June 2009
    Just got in and made the wager at 4:28 pacific and that was the line I had, I checked 4 spots and that was the best I could get. I have many outs but only 4 take the bases. I'm in the central time zone but I play out of one spot that post everything on pacific time. Thanks CAT, I havent been to play all your bases, but the last two I played were totals and both lost, the last one I remeber was the Arz/Cincy u 9.5 laid 2400/2000. I told myself tonight this one is solid and I just hit it. I have a big wager on the Lakers for the NBA Championship see below.



    May 30 05:35 PM
    INTERNET / -1 May 27 09:32 AM
    TNT
    2008/2009 NBA CHAMPIONSHIP - ODDS TO WIN
    [5317] LOS ANGELES LAKERS +110

    5000 / 5500



    fb
  • DiscreetCatDiscreetCat Moderator
    edited June 2009
    Nice!

    You could eliminate all risk right now with a bet on the Magic series price. Might not be a bad idea...it would only cost about a quarter of your profit at the current price of +420.
  • fbwinnersfbwinners Senior Member
    edited June 2009
    I don't hedge.
  • edited June 2009
    Fbwinners.........i Dont No You But Im The Same Way.....no Hedging......"m.o.a." Rule 1 Violation.........shit Or Get Off The Pot.....
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