Baffert works The Factor one mile in Rebel drill
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Because he's Draynay.
Just like Big Drama won the Preakness, Dunkirk won the Derby and Belmont, Quality Road was the best horse of the decade....
Oh wait, that's right, none of those ever happened.
You're a fucking ass clown as usual, and yes DC gave him out big before the race (again). Fucking moron you are drayton nay.
And stop saying you've seen shit for 40 years, you're 12 years old.
Uncle Mo won't win the Derby ? Based on what ? I have seen him twice now and if you think he can't run another 300 yards I was there at the Breeders Cup he did it with ease. At the Timely he ran half way around the track before they could pull him up.
Some years it is close and there are quite a few contenders but this is a no brainer folks. Uncle Mo is much better than the rest of the field and if you are pinning any hopes on The Factor you just wasting time and money.
After The Factor Gets Done :Uncle Mo Will Be A Distant Cousin.:drinking:
Is Uncle Mo a very good (possibly even great) horse? Sure, of course he is. I don't think anyone is disputing that.
Ask yourself how winter-book favorites have fared in the Derby over the years though. Not real well, and that's putting it mildly. It doesn't have anything to do with talent, it's just that there a TON of extraneous factors in play. More than any other race in the world, probably. I could spend ten minutes listing them all, and still miss some probably. That would just be a waste of time though, anyone who's been following horses as long as you have should know what i'm talking about (though you choose to just ignore it).
The main problem i'm having with Uncle Mo at this point is something you yourself mentioned in the above post:
"The Derby is just 6 weeks away"
What has Uncle Mo done to prepare for it? Win a one-turn mile vs. a tiny field, while racing alone on a ridiculously soft pace? Sure he finished fast, but he had zero excuse not to. It doesn't prove anything. The distance up the Wood will help in his development, but again, he figures to get little-to-no pressure while racing against a tiny field. The horse just hasn't been pushed at all, which isn't going to help when he's asked to run 1 1/4 miles vs. a huge field vs. what figures to be some very serious pace pressure. And while he might be able to rate, the Derby isn't the place you want to start experimenting with those things.
That's the other big problem i have with his Derby chances, his running style. If you like Uncle Mo, you had better pray that The Factor doesn't make the race. Is Uncle Mo better than The Factor? Who knows, maybe, but that's not even the issue. The issue is that The Factor (and perhaps a few others) will undoubtedly be applying serious pace pressure to a horse that hasn't faced it in a very long time, and who will be racing 1 1/4 miles for the first time, with over 15 horses in hot pursuit. Even if he puts away The Factor (or whomever), it's a long way to the wire dude, and he's probably going to be softened up. That's why frontrunners are a notoriously bad bet in that race. Maybe Uncle Mo has the talent and the stamina to overcome all this, it wouldn't be the biggest shock in the world. But he's really up against it, in my opinion.
And for all he has to overcome, he'll offer what, 3/1 or less? You can have him.
So you're saying he has a 95% chance to win? Is that just on raceday, or starting on March 20th?