Value in the KDFW today?

DiscreetCatDiscreetCat Moderator
edited April 2011 in Horse Racing Forum
The Florida Derby is scheduled to go off around 15 minutes before the closing of the final round of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager (which is 6:00pm Eastern Time, btw), so you might keep an eye on that.

Not so much for Soldat, Dialed In, or any other horse in this race, but more for any horse that ISN'T running today, as their odds figure to be rising late as everyone rushes to the windows to bet the winner of the Florida Derby during the last 15 minutes of wagering.

I'm generally not a big proponent of the KDFW (and that's putting it mildly), but this is a somewhat unique situation, with the Derby only about a month away now, and perhaps some added value appearing late on a horse who might be offering a marginal price as the deadline approaches (like maybe Premier Pegasus or Jaycito? or perhaps Uncle Mo, if your name happens to be Draynay).

Just something to keep in mind today.

Comments

  • Horsin~AroHorsin~Aro Senior Member
    edited April 2011
    I think a real value play here though costing a few coins may be some exactas
  • DiscreetCatDiscreetCat Moderator
    edited April 2011
    I could never bring myself to bet the KDFW exacta. You've got to be kidding me with that thing.
  • Horsin~AroHorsin~Aro Senior Member
    edited April 2011
    If you really like someone here $46 will get you $2 Ex with all which will certainly pay more. Same bet on Derby day will be $38 with much less of a payout.
  • DiscreetCatDiscreetCat Moderator
    edited April 2011
    Did any of you guys do anything here? I had some interest in Premier Pegasus, but unfortunately he took more money than i was expecting, so i passed. I think you could've made a case for a play on Jaycito, though.
  • Horsin~AroHorsin~Aro Senior Member
    edited April 2011
    Did an Exacta ~ Animal Kingdom, Mucho Macho Man, Dialed In, Uncle Moe with Animal Kingdom, Mucho Macho Man, Dialed In, Uncle Moe, field for $5 Total cost $125
  • Horsin~AroHorsin~Aro Senior Member
    edited April 2011
    Sorry total cost was $150
  • FlyinLateFlyinLate Senior Member
    edited April 2011
    I passed on all future wagers as the only horses intriguing to me did not offer value.

    I'm sitting on Premier Pegasus @ 50-1 from a sportsbook bet awhile back, and have some change on The Factor @ 25-1 and Dialed In @ 10-1 from the same site.
  • DiscreetCatDiscreetCat Moderator
    edited April 2011
    Nice ticket on PP. I have one on The Factor and one on Brethren, both at big prices. Not crazy about my chances though.
  • dirtyshirtdirtyshirt Senior Member
    edited April 2011
    I parlayed my dialed in winnings into 3 bets. $100 win on elite Alex (stupid wager at 30-1) $100 win jaycito (20-1 I think) and the field because I couldn't find anything better...
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