Hanson ????? or !!!!!

okjac12okjac12 Senior Member
edited April 2012 in Horse Racing Forum
I thought Hanson was a sure thing for the roses but after the bluegrass I have doubts!!:yelling:

Comments

  • DiscreetCatDiscreetCat Moderator
    edited April 2012
    No horse is EVER a lock for the roses. Brutally difficult race to win. I estimate that even the very strongest favorite (in any year) has better than around a 4/1 chance of winning (on raceday). Sometimes a horse like Barbaro or Big Brown will make it look easy, but there's just too much going on in that race for it to ever be easy, no matter who the horse is. We could spend half an hour going over all the different obstacles.
  • shh10shh10 Senior Member
    edited April 2012
    okjac12 wrote: »
    I thought Hanson was a sure thing for the roses but after the bluegrass I have doubts!!:yelling:

    I wouldn't have had doubts after the Bluegrass given the crap he had to put up with from his connections pre-race . . . the doubt would have come watching Bodemeister 30m later . . . :)
  • shh10shh10 Senior Member
    edited April 2012
    DiscreetCat wrote: »
    No horse is EVER a lock for the roses. Brutally difficult race to win. I estimate that even the very strongest favorite (in any year) has better than around a 4/1 chance of winning (on raceday). Sometimes a horse like Barbaro or Big Brown will make it look easy, but there's just too much going on in that race for it to ever be easy, no matter who the horse is. We could spend half an hour going over all the different obstacles.

    VERY true DC . . . I still can't shake 2001 and Point Given . . .
  • DiscreetCatDiscreetCat Moderator
    edited April 2012
    I think the unluckiest loser from recent Derbys was Afleet Alex. Pretty obvious after the Triple Crown was over who the best horse out of that group was. Would've won the Derby if not for traffic problems (finished a very close third).
  • trytrytrytrytrytry Junior Member
    edited April 2012
    i had up to that point the largest PLACE wager I had ever made on AFLEEt ALEX that day...I still have closing Argument nightmares...giacomo Im OK with but to lose to Closing Argument that day after I seemed to catch up and with that trip...ARGH...I did not want that girls lemonade after that one.
  • MikenyceMikenyce Senior Member
    edited April 2012
    DiscreetCat wrote: »
    I think the unluckiest loser from recent Derbys was Afleet Alex. Pretty obvious after the Triple Crown was over who the best horse out of that group was. Would've won the Derby if not for traffic problems (finished a very close third).


    Yuck! Loaded up on Afleet Alex at like 20-1 for the derby after his terrible performance in I think it was the rebel (Not sure didn't feel like looking it up) he should of been our triple crown winner!
  • DiscreetCatDiscreetCat Moderator
    edited April 2012
    Mikenyce wrote: »
    Yuck! Loaded up on Afleet Alex at like 20-1 for the derby after his terrible performance in I think it was the rebel (Not sure didn't feel like looking it up) he should of been our triple crown winner!

    I got down $300 @ 18/1 after he won the Arkansas Derby. One of those deals where a casino wasn't paying attention and failed to move the line. Tough beat in the Derby, he deserved to win.
  • SirBearSirBear Senior Member
    edited April 2012
    The 2005 Derby was one of the wildest races ever. Tom Durkin's call was epic. I don't know how he captured all those moves. The pace was suicidal, but I don't think Alex was robbed or anything. He had every opportunity in the final furlong but couldn't match strides with the two longshots. He got outrun. That's the way it goes.
  • FlyinLateFlyinLate Senior Member
    edited April 2012
    DiscreetCat wrote: »
    I got down $300 @ 18/1 after he won the Arkansas Derby. One of those deals where a casino wasn't paying attention and failed to move the line. Tough beat in the Derby, he deserved to win.

    I was hoping to get lucky with this one on a sportsbook. I had a big future wager sitting there on Bodemeister, as soon as he started to draw off in the stretch I pressed submit and the line was already removed. I thought I might be able to get it in before the finish :cursing:
  • KP-HR2k9KP-HR2k9 Senior Member
    edited April 2012
    SirBear wrote: »
    The 2005 Derby was one of the wildest races ever. Tom Durkin's call was epic. I don't know how he captured all those moves. The pace was suicidal, but I don't think Alex was robbed or anything. He had every opportunity in the final furlong but couldn't match strides with the two longshots. He got outrun. That's the way it goes.

    i agree with you he got out run, but he just got better and better after that, his condition was superb.

    going back to 1998 whoaaaa Real Quiet had the Triple Crown and Victory Gallop spoiled the party
    this call was also epic. Tom Durking brings the thrill out in Horse racing :sweatdrop:

    wow it gives me chills to watch and listen, just awesome :yes:

    2k12 is gonna be all Gemologist
  • okjac12okjac12 Senior Member
    edited April 2012
    True after watching bodemeister and the fact it was the arkansas derbymade me doubt hanson..
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