Churchill play from DiscreetPicks
DiscreetCat
Moderator
Churchill - Race 10
#3 Blueeyesintherein (5/2 ml)
Looks like a fast and talented young filly here. Was able to draw away impressively thru the stretch while under virtually no urging at all, that after hitting the half-mile mark in a very solid 45.1 seconds. That's significant, because no one else on that day's card got a half-mile in less than 46 flat (all longer races, of course, but still). Also worth mentioning, the gray filly who ran second that day (Shesakitty, also entered here) was traveling very smoothly in hand down the backstretch after breaking slowly, and came rallying strongly when asked entering the stretch. Will probably appreciate the extra distance here, and figures closer early with any kind of clean break. Think she may just be overmatched by Blueeyesinthereiun, but decent chance they can run 1-2 again, i think. Might be some value on that combination (as well as making Blueeyesintherein playable) with the entry of the new Asmussen purchase from Arlington (Richie'slilcowgirl). That one didn't really stick out to me based on the other fractional times run @ Arlington that day, so i think she may be a little overrated here, while hopefully drawing alot of money at the windows.
HRT record:
86 for 320 (27%)
$734.00 mutuels ($8.53 avg)
#3 Blueeyesintherein (5/2 ml)
Looks like a fast and talented young filly here. Was able to draw away impressively thru the stretch while under virtually no urging at all, that after hitting the half-mile mark in a very solid 45.1 seconds. That's significant, because no one else on that day's card got a half-mile in less than 46 flat (all longer races, of course, but still). Also worth mentioning, the gray filly who ran second that day (Shesakitty, also entered here) was traveling very smoothly in hand down the backstretch after breaking slowly, and came rallying strongly when asked entering the stretch. Will probably appreciate the extra distance here, and figures closer early with any kind of clean break. Think she may just be overmatched by Blueeyesinthereiun, but decent chance they can run 1-2 again, i think. Might be some value on that combination (as well as making Blueeyesintherein playable) with the entry of the new Asmussen purchase from Arlington (Richie'slilcowgirl). That one didn't really stick out to me based on the other fractional times run @ Arlington that day, so i think she may be a little overrated here, while hopefully drawing alot of money at the windows.
HRT record:
86 for 320 (27%)
$734.00 mutuels ($8.53 avg)
Comments
Almost had the exacta too, as Shesakitty ran third.
Thank you for this. So much fun watching your animal win that easily.
The whole thing looks very strange. The only thing i can really come up with is that Simms isn't stabled at Ellis (i have no idea whether he is or not), so she's basically a loaner for the race, and will be going back to Simms afterward (assuming she isn't claimed). Not much of a theory, but it's all i can think of. Unless maybe she was always trained by Bradley, and he and Simms just had some kind of agreement to work the two horses together. Odd match though, a now unbeaten 2yo stakes winner with a 3yo maiden claimer. On the bright side though, the competion doesn't figure to be real tough, so there's that. Good luck if you decide to play.
a real sprinter was Kela, and his daughter may just have some of his speed. Not unusual for these Kentucky horsemen to debut a fillie in a clm race and hope to pick-up purse money. If they lose her, so what, they will breed another or have several waiting in the wings. Greta Kuntsweiller in the irons will only add to the price. I'm in---how about you?
this to me sounds like good claimer wow.. :drinking:
im goint to bet her :yes:
Thoughts on her chances tomorrow?
The race is quite possibly one of the most wide open events I've ever gone over. I normally don't like horses that run so early on in their career and then return as a 3yo (most seem to never return to stakes form). This one, however, returned with a real strong effort in the Instant Racing @ Oaklawn. She has an 8-1 morning line and may offer some good value in a wide open field.
How bad are Mike B's M/L, there is now way this gril goes off at those odds, maybe 5/1 at best. These M/L makers are flat out horrible. I played the entire Gulfstream meet and it was absolute unreal.
I swear his awful morning lines hurt me far too often. I guarantee there are plenty of others who will be laying down good money in the morning thinking they are going to get that price. I won't be surprised if she opens up under half that.