Southwest Stakes
John Greenhaw
Senior Member
I have been on the backside for the past 3 days. Alot of time at the track kitchen talking to trainers, and the one thing I keep hearing is that horses need a race over the Oaklawn surface.
Race 9 Southwest Stakes G3 $300k 1 1/16 3yo
It can be argued that the best two horses are #7 Strong Mandate, 2-1---and #2 Tapiture, 3-1, but neither have a race over the track. However, Strong Mandate has taken to the OP strip like a duck to water. Tapiture has been working like a beast down in NOLA, but he is one that might find the OP track a little tiring, but I learned a long time ago to never discount the Assman.
Cody Autrey sends out a couple, #1 Tanzanite Cat & 1A Paganol, and generous ml of 8-1. CNAK comes in to ride TC, and he has the good Smarty Jones win over the surface. #1A Paganol, has an impressive win over the track and is one that really looks good. Both of these may be in a little deep today with the expected pace set-up, but I'm learning that you have to use anything Super feed trainer sends out.
#3 Coastline, 8-1, burned my money in the Smarty Jones , where he ran a dull 3rd all the way around. However, Mark Casse thinks he is for real and was flattered when his PMM workmate came back to run a very good 2nd in last stakes race. Casse thinks the fact that he has a race at OP is huge, and thinks he will be coming down the lane late and if the speed comes back, which is possible, he can be right there.
A case can be made for every horse in this race, but you can't play them all!!
TRI BOX 1--2--3--7
GOOD LUCK TO ALL!
Race 9 Southwest Stakes G3 $300k 1 1/16 3yo
It can be argued that the best two horses are #7 Strong Mandate, 2-1---and #2 Tapiture, 3-1, but neither have a race over the track. However, Strong Mandate has taken to the OP strip like a duck to water. Tapiture has been working like a beast down in NOLA, but he is one that might find the OP track a little tiring, but I learned a long time ago to never discount the Assman.
Cody Autrey sends out a couple, #1 Tanzanite Cat & 1A Paganol, and generous ml of 8-1. CNAK comes in to ride TC, and he has the good Smarty Jones win over the surface. #1A Paganol, has an impressive win over the track and is one that really looks good. Both of these may be in a little deep today with the expected pace set-up, but I'm learning that you have to use anything Super feed trainer sends out.
#3 Coastline, 8-1, burned my money in the Smarty Jones , where he ran a dull 3rd all the way around. However, Mark Casse thinks he is for real and was flattered when his PMM workmate came back to run a very good 2nd in last stakes race. Casse thinks the fact that he has a race at OP is huge, and thinks he will be coming down the lane late and if the speed comes back, which is possible, he can be right there.
A case can be made for every horse in this race, but you can't play them all!!
TRI BOX 1--2--3--7
GOOD LUCK TO ALL!
Comments
I handicap mostly by pedigree in these 3yr old races so look for something well bred to outrun his odds.
7/11,1,2,8
@ClockerDH: @DRFRampellini Relaxed early alone.Unscheduled(?) mate late. Tough to pull up on gallop. Very healthy. Will he relax w/horse in front early?