Kentucky Derby futures
DiscreetCat
Moderator
Here's the latest Derby sheet from the Wynn:
http://www.viewfromvegas.com/uploads/2016_Derby-Wynn_9-21.pdf
Note, we're still in September of the previous year, and they're already listing horses as low as 25/1 to win the Derby (Sail Ahoy). Nyquist is listed at only 35/1, but undoubtedly has seen his price cut after winning today. These may be some of the worst prices i've seen in all my years of living in Vegas.
If you're gonna take a shot with something, how about Arabian Leopard @ 225/1?
Very highly-regarded Baffert colt who lost his debut (ring a bell?), and recently worked a strong 7 furlongs heads-up with a 2yo barnmate who just ran second in a two-turn stakes race. Also worth noting, Baffert tends to work his best horses 7 furlongs (generally right before a race), so just the fact that he worked 7 at all is a positive sign here. Should be making his second start any time now, perhaps even leading to a start in the BC Juvenile next month.
http://www.viewfromvegas.com/uploads/2016_Derby-Wynn_9-21.pdf
Note, we're still in September of the previous year, and they're already listing horses as low as 25/1 to win the Derby (Sail Ahoy). Nyquist is listed at only 35/1, but undoubtedly has seen his price cut after winning today. These may be some of the worst prices i've seen in all my years of living in Vegas.
If you're gonna take a shot with something, how about Arabian Leopard @ 225/1?
Very highly-regarded Baffert colt who lost his debut (ring a bell?), and recently worked a strong 7 furlongs heads-up with a 2yo barnmate who just ran second in a two-turn stakes race. Also worth noting, Baffert tends to work his best horses 7 furlongs (generally right before a race), so just the fact that he worked 7 at all is a positive sign here. Should be making his second start any time now, perhaps even leading to a start in the BC Juvenile next month.
Comments
Lol, probably so. You can still win a large number for chump change though.
get him before he crushes tomorrow....
Forgot to mention the other day, Arabian Leopard finally won a race. Hopefully he's starting to figure things out.
Here's the replay:
http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/race/USA/DMR/2015/11/29/7/race-7-msw-at-dmr-on-11-29-15
God he looked amazing today. Zero deep closers all weekend and he was flying from way back. Really nice sort imo
That's pretty amazing. So it's only 30/1 until someone wants to bet it?
I mean, I would have argued my way into 30-1, that's not even value.... But he doesn't get any of that, just wants action.
Yeah, it's amazing they'd even give him a hard time about it. They should just smile and take the money.
FWIW, i did notice they had a "Sires" future this year, but i had zero interest in it. The only thing it'll be good for is keeping it mind as a possible alternative to whatever individual horse you might be interested in (likely in the last couple of months before the Derby). You might get get additional runners for essentially the same price. Or even a better price, if they happen to fall asleep on something. Most likely it'll stay low-balled throughout the entire Derby Trail however (just like 95+% of the individual horses).
Yeah, that's what bet I gave him. Told him bet the sires of Mor Spirit and The Leopard (who just might be a turf monster.)
Well, Andy says he looks flat out amazing... Trashing some decent horses in the AM.
Another sharp drill for Baffert tracking and drawing far clear from Let's Meet In Rio and Silentio (who broke behind the Baffert trainees on the backside). Has really improved a ton lately. Went a full 7f in 36.3, 113.1, 125.1. Going great.---Grade: A-
COLLECTED Dec 28 SA 6 1:12H M FT A-
Garcia up; motored away from barnmate Coach Q rolling home with power while going a full 7f in 37.1, 112.3, 124.2. Has really stepped up his game this month.---Grade: A-
Looks good from here.
Connex and Andy both spot on...
Mor spirit worked this AM with g. Stevens up. Grenaded work mate.
He's actually dead DC. They did stick said fork in him. Was a turf monster, I saw him in the paddock the day he died and I was like holy shit. Interestingly, the racing form on the day he died noted he missed some training with a foot or foreleg issue...
Collected lookie like a racehorse today. Very Preakness-y animal.