steal the shot worked 4f in 49.31 today...this one should be showing up in a race soon...
another horse to watch out for is a filly named kaysa deeya..she was a long shot yesterday in the 6th on the turf..she was running good on the rail and got shuffled back a few lengths and the around the turn she tried to get out in the clear and got hit and almost clipped heels...the reason i mention her is because she looked good during the race and even though she was a long shot she still had trouble...if it was the favorite everyone in the world would of saw it....next out going 1 mile or longer on green
steal the shot is entered in a alw race on thurs at belmont..
6th (3:40)
1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance | Purse: $39,000
Post # Horse Jockey Weight Claim Price Equip. Med.
1 Juicy Jacklyn Rodriguez J 110 L
2 Game Token Velazquez J R 117 L 3 Steal the Shot Maragh R 119 L
4 Spa City Fever Chavez J F 121 L
5 Shrewd One Prado E S 117 FTL
6 Next Day Serpa A 116 L
7 Fortunate Run Jara F 117 L
Heads up,
Mr Gruff is entered in the Shoemaker Mile tomorrow @ Hollywood.
What are everyone's thoughts on him stretching out?
He is too impressive to not think he can handle the added distance. The way he often draws away and gallops out well shows he should be able to handle a bit longer. We'll see tomorrow.
Heads up,
Mr Gruff is entered in the Shoemaker Mile tomorrow @ Hollywood.
What are everyone's thoughts on him stretching out?
He is too impressive to not think he can handle the added distance. The way he often draws away and gallops out well shows he should be able to handle a bit longer. We'll see tomorrow.
He deserves the chance, sure, but it's a tough spot to make your two-turn debut. Will be an interesting race to handicap.
Im trying to remember who has early speed off names (havent picked up PPs yet).
Compari I believe tends to run on the front end and isn't Noble Court typically a sprinter? So we can expect some speed out of him in the stretch out.
Field is pretty loaded. Isn't Karelian the horse that edged out Gio Ponti at Tampa?
karelian did edge out gio ponti and came back to win after that..noble court was a closing sprinter so i dont think he will be to close...maybe 4 or 5 off.
Just got done handicapping the Shoemaker, and it looks like a very tough spot for Mr. Gruff. Not because he lacks the talent, but there's just a ton speed lined up here, and unless he takes back a bit early (hard to see considering he drew the rail), i think he figures to be a bad side of a potential speed duel. Also note that Compari, though he figures to be on the favorable outside should a speed duel develop, is breaking from the 10-hole with the race starting close tro the turn. Mr. Gruff figures to cut the corner pretty well from his rail draw and get early position on Compari, i think, and considering that one has been pretty one-dimensional so far in his career, i think they may rush him out of the gate pretty strongly early in order to get position, and once he's up there i don't think they'll be slowing down too much, as Karelian figures to be involved early as well. Tangled Tango might even be in the mix. I really think this race might set up for an off-the-pace type. I gave a play out on my site, can't say who it is but it's obviously not one of the ones mentioned above. I have all the respect in the world for Compari, but i do think he's faced some pretty favorable pace scenarios in his last two route wins, and that won't be the case today. Could be vulnerable here.
My guess is going to be Gallant Son, mainly because that is who I will be backing.
I firmly believe if Compari did not run I would be smashing Mr Gruff and vice versa.
With the three likely favorites all pressuring one another on the front I don't see much good happening. As DC notes, the rail may actually work to Mr Gruffs advantage of getting the lead, but the question is how fast will he have to go on the front? He did win from off the pace when he broke slowly a few back, but the combination of the rail, attempting to rate, and mostly importantly his first time stretching out may prove too be too difficult a task.
Small win/place money on Gallant Son for me. Exacta Box Gallant Son/Mr Gruff/Compari incase they are game enough to hold on or one successfully rates.
Some good Gulfstream info. I had a very nice winner on Sunday named Tahitian Warrior, a first-time starter for Danny Miller who went wire-to-wire in Race 9 and paid $16.60 to win. The reason i mention this is that Tahitian Warrior had worked heads-up with another horse named Savemyspotimbeting 3 straight times heading into that race. So obviously, that one will deserve a very hard look when he turns up, perhaps as early as this coming weekend (he is not entered at least thru Friday). And as with the winner on Sunday, the price should be very nice due to the low-profile connections.
Got my email this am that Tahitian Warrior is in the Trappe Shot race Saturday.. they are the 2 ml favs in race
Very interesting unraced (i think?) horse to watch out for; a little background first.
A couple of horses that i've given out recently have been the Todd Pletcher firsters Zermatt and Embur's Song.
Zermatt ran first of the two, finishing a strong second @ Gulfstream about a length behind at the wire after six furlongs in 109 and change, with over 8 lengths back to the rest of the field.
Embur's Song turned up @ Keeneland last Saturday, and won by 13 lengths while paying $17.60 to win.
What do each of those horses have in common (other than the fact they had worked heads-up together at Palm Meadows)?
They each ALSO worked heads-up (on seperate occasions) with a horse named Cascabella, who as mentioned apperas to be unraced. Be on the lookout for that one, should be entered pretty soon.
Cascabella is entered back today @ Churchill (Race 11), though she's on the MTO list and probably won't run. Interesting that Pletcher has entered her at a mile; perhaps he feels she'll be better with some added ground. Can't say i'm real excited about her anymore, as disappointing as her debut was (no apparent excuse), but just something to keep in mind should she be entered back going long again.
Edit: Looks like she's been entered right back on Saturday, 7 furlongs @ Churchill (Race 9).
2yo to watch for @ Emerald Downs. They ran a maiden race on Sunday, which was won by a Frank Lucarelli colt named Marvin's Magic, who led wire-to-wire in fast time. In Marvin's final workout heading into that race, it looks like he worked heads-up fro the gate with a horse named Flight of a Dream, who i believe is unraced. Probably another Lucarelli 2yo who will be entered soon.
2yo Dogwood filly "GLACKETY" entered July 7 at Belmont. Well thought of since her days at Aiken where she was running with the likes of 2yo winners Lou Brissie and Firepole. should be ready and able to handle msw NY Bred @ 5F. Currently working at Saratoga OK Tr. track, works are so-so, but that is typical of George Weaver.
Another unraced horse to watch for. Yesterday's 2yo race @ Belmont was won impressively by a well-bet Violette firster named Bail Out the Cat. That one had worked heads-up with an unraced barnmate named Pretend and Extend (also entered yesterday but scratched) on 5 different occasions. They also worked together a 6th time, with Pretend and Extend getting the better of it on a wet track (definitely something to keep in mind if you see him entered on a sloppy track). Incidentally, those six drills compose their entire respective worktabs, so you would've been hard-pressed to find any two unraced colts who mirror each other to any greater degree. And since the first one won impressively, well...let's just keep an eye out for this one. Should be entered back soon.
2yo to watch for @ Emerald Downs. They ran a maiden race on Sunday, which was won by a Frank Lucarelli colt named Marvin's Magic, who led wire-to-wire in fast time. In Marvin's final workout heading into that race, it looks like he worked heads-up fro the gate with a horse named Flight of a Dream, who i believe is unraced. Probably another Lucarelli 2yo who will be entered soon.
Comments
another horse to watch out for is a filly named kaysa deeya..she was a long shot yesterday in the 6th on the turf..she was running good on the rail and got shuffled back a few lengths and the around the turn she tried to get out in the clear and got hit and almost clipped heels...the reason i mention her is because she looked good during the race and even though she was a long shot she still had trouble...if it was the favorite everyone in the world would of saw it....next out going 1 mile or longer on green
6th (3:40)
1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance | Purse: $39,000
Post # Horse Jockey Weight Claim Price Equip. Med.
1 Juicy Jacklyn Rodriguez J 110 L
2 Game Token Velazquez J R 117 L
3 Steal the Shot Maragh R 119 L
4 Spa City Fever Chavez J F 121 L
5 Shrewd One Prado E S 117 FTL
6 Next Day Serpa A 116 L
7 Fortunate Run Jara F 117 L
Mr Gruff is entered in the Shoemaker Mile tomorrow @ Hollywood.
What are everyone's thoughts on him stretching out?
He is too impressive to not think he can handle the added distance. The way he often draws away and gallops out well shows he should be able to handle a bit longer. We'll see tomorrow.
He deserves the chance, sure, but it's a tough spot to make your two-turn debut. Will be an interesting race to handicap.
Compari I believe tends to run on the front end and isn't Noble Court typically a sprinter? So we can expect some speed out of him in the stretch out.
Field is pretty loaded. Isn't Karelian the horse that edged out Gio Ponti at Tampa?
I firmly believe if Compari did not run I would be smashing Mr Gruff and vice versa.
With the three likely favorites all pressuring one another on the front I don't see much good happening. As DC notes, the rail may actually work to Mr Gruffs advantage of getting the lead, but the question is how fast will he have to go on the front? He did win from off the pace when he broke slowly a few back, but the combination of the rail, attempting to rate, and mostly importantly his first time stretching out may prove too be too difficult a task.
Small win/place money on Gallant Son for me. Exacta Box Gallant Son/Mr Gruff/Compari incase they are game enough to hold on or one successfully rates.
Got my email this am that Tahitian Warrior is in the Trappe Shot race Saturday.. they are the 2 ml favs in race
Btw, reagrding that original post, Savemyspotimbeting ended up winning his debut by 5 lengths..
Cascabella is entered back today @ Churchill (Race 11), though she's on the MTO list and probably won't run. Interesting that Pletcher has entered her at a mile; perhaps he feels she'll be better with some added ground. Can't say i'm real excited about her anymore, as disappointing as her debut was (no apparent excuse), but just something to keep in mind should she be entered back going long again.
Edit: Looks like she's been entered right back on Saturday, 7 furlongs @ Churchill (Race 9).
Heads up.